College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Stanford vs. California 11/27/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Stanford visits California on 11/27/2020 at 4:30PM.

Stanford and California face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Stanford has a record of 0-2 this season. California is 0-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Stanford Team Defense Preview

Stanford has had 22 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.73 plays per drive. Stanford lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Stanford message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 37.30% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Stanford is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.42 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Stanford has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Stanford Team Offense Preview

Stanford has had 22 total drives this season and they generate 5.77 plays per drive. Stanford runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Stanford is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Stanford passes the football 62.20% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Stanford has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.06 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Stanford coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Stanford Offense. Stanford is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Stanford is a better passing team than running team this season.

California Team Defense Preview

California has had 22 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.32 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on California message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 39.32% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

California is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? California can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.02 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. California is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

California Team Offense Preview

California has had 22 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.95 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to California. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 58.78% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

California struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the California Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. California has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Stanford Roster

The Players to Watch for Stanford

Davis Mills QB 6-4 225

This season, Davis Mills has put up 327 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 110.3thus far this season. Davis Mills has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Davis Mills has 36.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 59.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 6.0 times this season, which puts him in the 32.13 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Nathaniel Peat RB 5-10 197

This season, Nathaniel Peat has 114 rushing yards on 11 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Nathaniel Peat picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Simi Fehoko WR 6-4 227

This season, Simi Fehoko picked up 162 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dalyn Wade-Perry DT 6-4 330

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Stanford, Dalyn Wade-Perry has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 25.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Thomas Booker DE 6-4 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Stanford, Thomas Booker has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 51.58 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Malik Antoine S 5-11 197.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Stanford, Malik Antoine had 11 tackles which puts him in the 51.03 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Malik Antoine as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Ethan Bonner CB 6-1 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Stanford, Ethan Bonner had 8 tackles which puts him in the 48.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ethan Bonner as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The California Roster

The Players to Watch for California

Chase Garbers QB 6-2 225

This season, Chase Garbers has put up 437 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 115.5thus far this season. Chase Garbers has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chase Garbers has 17.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 45.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 16.0 times this season, which puts him in the 53.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Marcel Dancy RB 5-10 195

This season, Marcel Dancy has 80 rushing yards on 19 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Marcel Dancy picked up 41 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kekoa Crawford WR 6-1 180

This season, Kekoa Crawford picked up 151 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

John Henry Tevis DE 6-4 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for California, John Henry Tevis has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 51.58 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Elijah Hicks S 5-11 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for California, Elijah Hicks had 13 tackles which puts him in the 56.41 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Elijah Hicks as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Camryn Bynum CB 6-0 200

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for California, Camryn Bynum had 11 tackles which puts him in the 59.17 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Camryn Bynum as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 83.79 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Stanford vs. California Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Stanford 29 California 30

Spread Pick: California +2.5 -110 JazzSports
Moneyline Pick: California +117 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 51 -110 BetOnline