College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Stanford vs. Washington 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Stanford visits Washington on 12/5/2020 at 4:00PM.

Stanford and Washington face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Stanford has a record of 1-2 this season. Washington is 3-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Stanford Team Defense Preview

Stanford has had 34 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.56 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Stanford message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 42.33% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Stanford is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.56 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Stanford has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Stanford Team Offense Preview

Stanford has had 34 total drives this season and they generate 5.53 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Stanford is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 60.64% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Stanford has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Stanford can take credit for 3.17 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Stanford coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Stanford Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Stanford is a better passing team than running team this season.

Washington Team Defense Preview

Washington has had 28 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.18 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Washington is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Washington has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Washington opponents pass the football 45.52% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.41 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Washington has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Washington Team Offense Preview

Washington has had 30 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.1 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Washington. Washington has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Washington passes the football 42.62% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Washington struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.81 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Washington has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Washington is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Washington is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Stanford Roster

The Players to Watch for Stanford

Davis Mills QB 6-4 225

This season, Davis Mills has put up 532 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 120.8thus far this season. Davis Mills has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Davis Mills has 19.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 46.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 12.0 times this season, which puts him in the 44.92 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Austin Jones RB 5-10 201

This season, Austin Jones has 194 rushing yards on 50 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Austin Jones picked up 76 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Michael Wilson WR 6-2 210

This season, Michael Wilson picked up 218 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dalyn Wade-Perry DT 6-4 330

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Stanford, Dalyn Wade-Perry has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Thomas Booker DE 6-4 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Stanford, Thomas Booker has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Malik Antoine S 5-11 197.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Stanford, Malik Antoine had 18 tackles which puts him in the 61.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 73.47 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Malik Antoine as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Kyu Blu Kelly CB 6-1 186

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Stanford, Kyu Blu Kelly had 12 tackles which puts him in the 58.94 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kyu Blu Kelly as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

The Washington Roster

The Players to Watch for Washington

Dylan Morris QB 6-0 200

This season, Dylan Morris has put up 643 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 130.1thus far this season. Dylan Morris has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dylan Morris has 21.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 49.37 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 10.0 times this season, which puts him in the 40.16 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Sean McGrew RB 5-7 175

This season, Sean McGrew has 162 rushing yards on 27 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Sean McGrew picked up 8 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Puka Nacua WR 6-1 210

This season, Puka Nacua picked up 151 yards. He caught the ball 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sam Taimani DL 6-2 335

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Washington, Sam Taimani has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 21.41 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Elijah Molden DB 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Washington, Elijah Molden had 18 tackles which puts him in the 61.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 73.47 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Elijah Molden as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Stanford vs. Washington Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Stanford 19 Washington 30

Spread Pick: No Action
Moneyline Pick: Washington -398 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 50.5 -105 5Dimes