NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers 1/24/2021 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Green Bay Packers on 1/24/2021 at 3:05PM.

Tampa Bay and Green Bay face off in a Wild Card Playoff game. Tampa Bay has a record of 11-5 this season. Green Bay is 13-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Tampa Bay Team Defense Preview

Tampa Bay faces 5.9 plays per drive, this defense gives up 29.4 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 1.89 points per drive. On 33.7% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 14.0% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 28.1 and these drives usually take up 2:48 of time.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 94.3 against Tampa Bay and 2.4% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Tampa Bay has caused a sack rate of 7.2% this season.

We will get more situational with Tampa Bay and examine various situations. They have faced 205 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 82 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 40.0%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 25 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 14 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 56.0%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 51 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 32 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 62.7%.

Tampa Bay Team Offense Preview

Tampa Bay has 5.8 plays per drive, this offense averages 34.1 yards per drive, and they score 2.72 points per offensive possession. 47.8% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 8.9% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their possessions start on average at their Own 31.0 and these drives usually take up 2:34 of time.

6.7% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Tampa Bay and 1.9% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Tampa Bay has given up 22 sacks this season and there were 150 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

Tampa Bay rushed for 4.1 yards per carry and for 94.9 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 12 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Tampa Bay and examine various situations. They have had 191 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 83 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 43.5%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 14 fourth down conversion attempts this season and have converted 8 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 57.1%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 61 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 42 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 68.9%.

Green Bay Team Defense Preview

Green Bay yields 6.3 plays per drive, this defense gives up 33.8 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.18 points per offensive possession. 39.9% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 11.4% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 28.6 yard line, they typically last 2:48.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 91.1 and on 2.1% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Green Bay has forced a sack rate of 7.1% this season.

Examining Green Bay in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 185 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 73 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 39.5%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 24 fourth down conversion attempts this season and opponents have converted 14 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 58.3%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 52 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 30 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 57.7%.

Green Bay Team Offense Preview

Green Bay has 6.2 plays per drive, this offense averages 38.6 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 3.08 points per drive. On 49.7% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 5.6% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 28.8 yard line, they usually take up 3:14 of time.

On 9.1% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and on 1.0% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Green Bay has given up 21 sacks this season and there were 193 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

Green Bay rushed for 4.8 yards per carry and for 132.4 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 11 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Green Bay and examine various situations. They have had 180 third down attempts this season and have converted 89 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 49.4%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 21 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 13 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 61.9%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 60 Red Zone entrances this season and have converted 48 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 80.0%.

The Tampa Bay Roster

The Players to Watch for Tampa Bay

Tom Brady QB 6-4 225

This season, Tom Brady has put up 4633 yards and 40 touchdowns. He has thrown 12 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 102.2thus far this season. Tom Brady has thrown 12 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tom Brady has 6 rushing yards, which puts him in the 18.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 30 times this season, which puts him in the 53.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ronald Jones II RB 5-11 208

This season, Ronald Jones II has 978 rushing yards on 192 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ronald Jones II picked up 165 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 28 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mike Evans WR 6-5 231

This season, Mike Evans picked up 1006 yards. He caught the ball 70 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 13 receiving touchdowns this season.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches DT 6-2 307

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tampa Bay, Rakeem Nunez-Roches has 7 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 16.48 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Jason Pierre-Paul DE 6-5 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Tampa Bay, Jason Pierre-Paul has 34 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 10 times this season, which put him in the 95.83 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 4.0 fumbles this season.

Antoine Winfield Jr. FS 5-9 203

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tampa Bay, Antoine Winfield Jr. had 64 tackles which puts him in the 82.63 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 3 times this season. Antoine Winfield Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 47.06 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Sean Murphy-Bunting CB 6-0 195

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Tampa Bay, Sean Murphy-Bunting had 53 tackles which puts him in the 87.02 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Sean Murphy-Bunting as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 53.72 percentile among Corners this season.

The Green Bay Roster

The Players to Watch for Green Bay

Aaron Rodgers QB 6-2 225

This season, Aaron Rodgers has put up 4299 yards and 48 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 121.5thus far this season. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Aaron Rodgers has 149 rushing yards, which puts him in the 58.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 38 times this season, which puts him in the 64.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3 rushing touchdowns this season.

Aaron Jones RB 5-9 208

This season, Aaron Jones has 1104 rushing yards on 201 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Aaron Jones picked up 355 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 47 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Davante Adams WR 6-1 215

This season, Davante Adams picked up 1374 yards. He caught the ball 115 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 18 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kenny Clark NT 6-3 314

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Green Bay, Kenny Clark has 28 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 62.09 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Dean Lowry DE 6-6 296

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Green Bay, Dean Lowry has 14 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 43.45 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Adrian Amos FS 6-0 214

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Green Bay, Adrian Amos had 65 tackles which puts him in the 84.74 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Adrian Amos as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 72.35 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Kevin King CB 6-3 200

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Green Bay, Kevin King had 45 tackles which puts him in the 73.66 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kevin King as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 19.83 percentile among Corners this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25 Green Bay Packers 27

Spread Pick: Tampa Bay +3.5 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Green Bay -170 Mybookie.ag
Total Pick: Over 51.5 -111 Pinnacle Sports