NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints 1/17/2021 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the New Orleans Saints on 1/17/2021 at 6:40PM.

Tampa Bay and New Orleans face off in a Wild Card Playoff game. Tampa Bay has a record of 11-5 this season. New Orleans is 12-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Tampa Bay Team Defense Preview

Tampa Bay yields 5.9 plays per drive, this defense gives up 29.4 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 1.89 points per drive. 33.7% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 14.0% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 28.1 yard line, they usually take up 2:48 of time.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 94.3 against Tampa Bay and 2.4% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Tampa Bay has forced a sack rate of 7.2% this season.

Examining Tampa Bay in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 205 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 82 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 40.0%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 25 fourth down conversion attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 14 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 56.0%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 51 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 32 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 62.7%.

Tampa Bay Team Offense Preview

Tampa Bay has run 5.8 plays per drive and they generate 34.1 yards per drive, and they score 2.72 points per offensive possession. 47.8% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 8.9% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 31.0 yard line, they typically last 2:34.

On 6.7% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and 1.9% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Tampa Bay has yielded 22 sacks this season and there were 150 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 4.1 yards per carry and for 94.9 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 12 times this season.

Examining Tampa Bay in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 191 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 83 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 43.5%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 14 fourth down conversion attempts this season and have converted 8 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 57.1%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 61 Red Zone entrances this season and have converted 42 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 68.9%.

New Orleans Team Defense Preview

New Orleans yields 5.8 plays per drive, this defense gives up 28.1 yards per drive, and opponents score 1.93 points per offensive possession. 34.7% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 13.1% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 27.5 yard line, they typically last 2:37.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 83.3 against New Orleans and 3.2% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.New Orleans has forced a sack rate of 7.5% this season.

We will get more situational with New Orleans and examine various situations. They have faced 207 third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 79 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 38.2%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 30 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 16 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 53.3%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 50 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 34 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 68.0%.

New Orleans Team Offense Preview

New Orleans has 6.0 plays per drive, this offense averages 33.9 yards per drive, and they score 2.67 points per offensive possession. 45.5% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 9.0% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 32.0 yard line, they typically last 2:54.

On 5.4% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and 1.5% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.New Orleans has given up 29 sacks this season and this has resulted in 187 yards lost.

They rushed for 4.6 yards per carry and for 141.6 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 27 times this season.

Examining New Orleans in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 208 third down attempts this season and have converted 93 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 44.7%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 16 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 11 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 68.8%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 68 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and have converted 49 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 72.1%.

The Tampa Bay Roster

The Players to Watch for Tampa Bay

Tom Brady QB 6-4 225

This season, Tom Brady has put up 4633 yards and 40 touchdowns. He has thrown 12 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 102.2thus far this season. Tom Brady has thrown 12 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tom Brady has 6 rushing yards, which puts him in the 18.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 30 times this season, which puts him in the 53.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ronald Jones II RB 5-11 208

This season, Ronald Jones II has 978 rushing yards on 192 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ronald Jones II picked up 165 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 28 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mike Evans WR 6-5 231

This season, Mike Evans picked up 1006 yards. He caught the ball 70 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 13 receiving touchdowns this season.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches DT 6-2 307

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tampa Bay, Rakeem Nunez-Roches has 7 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 16.11 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Jason Pierre-Paul DE 6-5 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Tampa Bay, Jason Pierre-Paul has 34 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 10 times this season, which put him in the 95.83 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 4.0 fumbles this season.

Antoine Winfield Jr. FS 5-9 203

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tampa Bay, Antoine Winfield Jr. had 64 tackles which puts him in the 82.63 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 3 times this season. Antoine Winfield Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 47.06 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Sean Murphy-Bunting CB 6-0 195

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Tampa Bay, Sean Murphy-Bunting had 53 tackles which puts him in the 86.82 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Sean Murphy-Bunting as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 53.78 percentile among Corners this season.

The New Orleans Roster

The Players to Watch for New Orleans

Drew Brees QB 6-0 209

This season, Drew Brees has put up 2942 yards and 24 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 106.4thus far this season. Drew Brees has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Drew Brees has -2 rushing yards, which puts him in the 10.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18 times this season, which puts him in the 39.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

Alvin Kamara RB 5-10 215

This season, Alvin Kamara has 932 rushing yards on 187 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 16 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Alvin Kamara picked up 756 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 83 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Emmanuel Sanders WR 5-11 180

This season, Emmanuel Sanders picked up 726 yards. He caught the ball 61 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

David Onyemata DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Orleans, David Onyemata has 20 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 93.89 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Cameron Jordan DE 6-4 287

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for New Orleans, Cameron Jordan has 34 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 86.31 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Malcolm Jenkins SS 6-0 204

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Orleans, Malcolm Jenkins had 69 tackles which puts him in the 91.58 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Malcolm Jenkins as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 88.24 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Marshon Lattimore CB 6-0 192

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for New Orleans, Marshon Lattimore had 52 tackles which puts him in the 82.95 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Marshon Lattimore as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 76.05 percentile among Corners this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25 New Orleans Saints 27

Spread Pick: Tampa Bay +3 +100 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: New Orleans -152 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 52 -108 Pinnacle Sports