College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

TCU vs. Kansas 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The TCU visits Kansas on 11/28/2020 at 8:00PM.

TCU and Kansas face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. TCU has a record of 3-4 this season. Kansas is 0-7 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

TCU Team Defense Preview

TCU has had 89 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.78 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. TCU opponents pass the football 50.82% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

TCU opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.52 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

TCU has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!TCU has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

TCU Team Offense Preview

TCU has had 90 total drives this season and they generate 5.27 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 46.84% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

TCU struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. TCU can take credit for 2.71 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the TCU Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. TCU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Kansas Team Defense Preview

Kansas has had 71 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.28 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Kansas message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 47.20% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.13 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Kansas has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Kansas Team Offense Preview

Kansas has had 73 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.51 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 55.02% of their play calls.Kansas tends to pass more than other teams.

Kansas struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.16 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Kansas Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Kansas is a better passing team than running team this season.

The TCU Roster

The Players to Watch for TCU

Max Duggan QB 6-2 201

This season, Max Duggan has put up 1274 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.5thus far this season. Max Duggan has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Max Duggan has 348.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.72 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 90.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.21 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Darwin Barlow RB 5-11 204

This season, Darwin Barlow has 304 rushing yards on 53 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Darwin Barlow picked up 31 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Taye Barber WR 5-9 185

This season, Taye Barber picked up 322 yards. He caught the ball 30 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Cooper DT 6-2 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Terrell Cooper has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.08 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 77.7 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ochaun Mathis DE 6-5 247

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Ochaun Mathis has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Trevon Moehrig-Woodard S 6-2 202.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, Trevon Moehrig-Woodard had 36 tackles which puts him in the 90.99 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson CB 5-9 177

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson had 20 tackles which puts him in the 80.43 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.17 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Kansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas

Jalon Daniels QB 6-0 200

This season, Jalon Daniels has put up 661 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 86.0thus far this season. Jalon Daniels has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jalon Daniels has 40.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 62.3 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 69.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.8 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Velton Gardner RB 5-9 190

This season, Velton Gardner has 325 rushing yards on 72 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Velton Gardner picked up 18 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kwamie Lassiter II WR 6-0 175

This season, Kwamie Lassiter II picked up 324 yards. He caught the ball 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcus Harris DL 6-2 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas, Marcus Harris has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ricky Thomas S 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas, Ricky Thomas had 29 tackles which puts him in the 84.09 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ricky Thomas as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Kenny Logan Jr. CB 6-0 195

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas, Kenny Logan Jr. had 50 tackles which puts him in the 99.39 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Kenny Logan Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

TCU vs. Kansas Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: TCU 31 Kansas 16

Spread Pick: Kansas +24 -112 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: TCU -1365 Heritage
Total Pick: Under 52 -107 5Dimes