College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

TCU vs. Oklahoma 10/16/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

TCU visits Oklahoma on 10/16/2021 at 7:30PM.

TCU and Oklahoma face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! TCU sports a record of 3-2 this season. Oklahoma is 6-0 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…



TCU Team Defense Preview

TCU has had 48 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.96 plays per drive. TCU’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Offensive Coordinators have had no trouble with this season defense, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads onTCUmessage boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays are 41.61% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. Not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.84 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about their front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this season ‘s horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. TCU has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

TCU Team Offense Preview

TCU has had 46 total drives this season and they generate 5.59 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. TCU has had shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has had converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays are 38.13% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, TCU has had done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. TCU can take credit for 3.33 yards per carry. It is acceptable to say that this season ‘s offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The TCU coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this season ‘s offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season . Featuring an explosive running game… they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against TCU this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. TCU is a better running team than passing team this season .

Oklahoma Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma has had 66 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.79 plays per drive. Oklahoma’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Oklahoma opponents passes the football 58.38% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Oklahoma opponents have had struggled with running the ball and the defense crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line up and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback against this season ‘s defense, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Oklahoma can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.38 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Oklahoma should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, their front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

Oklahoma Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma has had 70 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.84 plays per drive. Oklahoma run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Oklahoma, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays are 54.03% of their play calls.Oklahoma passes more than other teams.

Oklahoma struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.06 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season . Featuring an explosive running game… they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Oklahoma this season. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Oklahoma is a better running team than passing team this season .

The TCU Roster

The Players to Watch for TCU

Max Duggan QB 6’2″ 201 Junior

Max Duggan put up 1003 yards, tossed 9 touchdowns, and he threw 2 interceptions this season. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 8.6 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 3.5 yards.

Zach Evans RB 5’11” 195 Sophomore

Zach Evans had 574 rushing yards on 71 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 5 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 8.1 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 8.1 yards.

Taye Barber WR 5’9″ 185 Senior

Taye Barber picked up 205 yards through the air. He caught the ball 12 times this season. He reached the end zone 1 times. He was a consistent option in the passing game this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 17.1 yards.

Terrell Cooper DT 6’2″ 283 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Terrell Cooper, had 9 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Ochaun Mathis DE 6’5″ 247 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Ochaun Mathis, had 21 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

T.J. Carter S 5’11” 190 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for TCU, T.J. Carter, had 28 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Tre’Vius Hodges-Tomlinson CB 5’9″ 177 Junior

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for TCU, Tre’Vius Hodges-Tomlinson, had 26 tackles this season.Among Cornerbacks, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at picking off passes, he had 1.0 interceptions this season. Lockdown corner.

The Oklahoma Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma

Spencer Rattler QB 6’1″ 205 Freshman

Spencer Rattler put up 1371 yards, tossed 10 touchdowns, and he threw 5 interceptions. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 7.8 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 2.2 yards.

Kennedy Brooks RB 5’11” 215 Junior

Kennedy Brooks had 536 rushing yards on 79 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 6 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 6.8 yards. He was average among running backs when it comes to his role as a receiver in the offense. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.8 yards.

Marvin Mims WR 5’11” 177 Freshman

Marvin Mims picked up 400 yards through the air. He caught the ball 19 times this season. He reached the end zone 2 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 21.1 yards.

Isaiah Thomas DL 6’5″ 267 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma, Isaiah Thomas, had 17 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 6 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 4 sacks this season.

Pat Fields S 5’11” 204 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Oklahoma, Pat Fields, had 34 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Jaden Davis CB 5’10” 185 Sophomore

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Oklahoma, Jaden Davis, had 19 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 pick-offs this season.

TCU vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: TCU 30 Oklahoma 37

Spread Pick: TCU +13.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma -400 BetAnySports
Over Pick: Over 65 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!