College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

TCU vs. West Virginia 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The TCU visits West Virginia on 11/14/2020 at 12:00PM.

TCU and West Virginia face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. TCU has a record of 3-3 this season. West Virginia is 4-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

TCU Team Defense Preview

TCU has had 79 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.58 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 51.93% of their opponents’ play calls.TCU tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

TCU opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? TCU can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.51 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!TCU has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

TCU Team Offense Preview

TCU has had 80 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.16 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 46.49% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

TCU struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the TCU Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. TCU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

West Virginia Team Defense Preview

West Virginia has had 82 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.79 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, West Virginia is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.38% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

West Virginia opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? West Virginia can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.36 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

West Virginia has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!West Virginia has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

West Virginia Team Offense Preview

West Virginia has had 88 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.45 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. West Virginia is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. West Virginia passes the football 57.71% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

West Virginia is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. West Virginia can take credit for 2.51 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the West Virginia Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. West Virginia is a better passing team than running team this season.

The TCU Roster

The Players to Watch for TCU

Max Duggan QB 6-2 201

This season, Max Duggan has put up 1113 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.1thus far this season. Max Duggan has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Max Duggan has 329.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 80.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.15 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Darwin Barlow RB 5-11 204

This season, Darwin Barlow has 291 rushing yards on 50 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Darwin Barlow picked up 31 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Taye Barber WR 5-9 185

This season, Taye Barber picked up 283 yards. He caught the ball 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Cooper DT 6-2 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Terrell Cooper has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.94 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 80.15 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ochaun Mathis DE 6-5 247

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Ochaun Mathis has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 96.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

La’Kendrick Van Zandt S 6-1 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, La’Kendrick Van Zandt had 30 tackles which puts him in the 89.9 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.27 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. La’Kendrick Van Zandt as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 96.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson CB 5-9 177

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson had 18 tackles which puts him in the 81.53 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The West Virginia Roster

The Players to Watch for West Virginia

Jarret Doege QB 6-2 208

This season, Jarret Doege has put up 2007 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 135.8thus far this season. Jarret Doege has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarret Doege has -62.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 1.07 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 27.0 times this season, which puts him in the 73.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Leddie Brown RB 5-11 210

This season, Leddie Brown has 741 rushing yards on 141 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Leddie Brown picked up 176 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Winston Wright WR 5-10 180

This season, Winston Wright picked up 447 yards. He caught the ball 36 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dante Stills DL 6-4 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for West Virginia, Dante Stills has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tykee Smith S 5-10 198

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for West Virginia, Tykee Smith had 46 tackles which puts him in the 98.12 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 7 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.95 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tykee Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.26 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Alonzo Addae CB 5-11 189

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for West Virginia, Alonzo Addae had 47 tackles which puts him in the 99.66 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Alonzo Addae as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.08 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

TCU vs. West Virginia Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: TCU 22 West Virginia 23

Spread Pick: TCU +3 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: West Virginia -143 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 46 -113 Pinnacle Sports