College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Tennessee vs. Arkansas 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Tennessee visits Arkansas on 11/7/2020 at 7:30PM.

Tennessee and Arkansas face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Tennessee has a record of 2-3 this season. Arkansas is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Tennessee Team Defense Preview

Tennessee has had 52 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.77 plays per drive. Tennessee lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Tennessee message boards are flights of fantasy. Tennessee opponents pass the football 45.33% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Tennessee opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.6 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Tennessee is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Tennessee Team Offense Preview

Tennessee has had 52 total drives this season and they generate 5.08 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Tennessee is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 45.45% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Tennessee is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Tennessee can take credit for 3.09 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Tennessee coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Tennessee Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Tennessee is a better passing team than running team this season.

Arkansas Team Defense Preview

Arkansas has had 65 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.72 plays per drive. Arkansas lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Arkansas has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 53.23% of their opponents’ play calls.Arkansas tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Arkansas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Arkansas can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.27 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Arkansas has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Arkansas Team Offense Preview

Arkansas has had 63 total drives this season and they generate 5.22 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Arkansas is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Arkansas passes the football 50.15% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Arkansas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Arkansas can take credit for 2.74 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Arkansas Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Arkansas is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Tennessee Roster

The Players to Watch for Tennessee

Jarrett Guarantano QB 6-4 230

This season, Jarrett Guarantano has put up 914 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 128.6thus far this season. Jarrett Guarantano has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarrett Guarantano has -8.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 14.31 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 31.0 times this season, which puts him in the 78.63 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Eric Gray RB 5-10 205

This season, Eric Gray has 355 rushing yards on 79 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Eric Gray picked up 123 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Palmer WR 6-2 210

This season, Josh Palmer picked up 295 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Matthew Butler DL 6-4 291

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tennessee, Matthew Butler has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 56.73 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Trevon Flowers DB 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tennessee, Trevon Flowers had 34 tackles which puts him in the 94.17 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Trevon Flowers as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Arkansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Arkansas

Feleipe Franks QB 6-6 228

This season, Feleipe Franks has put up 1213 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 149.2thus far this season. Feleipe Franks has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Feleipe Franks has 156.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.2 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 58.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.55 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Trelon Smith RB 5-9 185

This season, Trelon Smith has 251 rushing yards on 61 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Trelon Smith picked up 114 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Treylon Burks WR 6-3 232

This season, Treylon Burks picked up 366 yards. He caught the ball 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jonathan Marshall DL 6-3 317

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arkansas, Jonathan Marshall has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.16 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jalen Catalon DB 5-10 189

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arkansas, Jalen Catalon had 46 tackles which puts him in the 99.0 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Catalon as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Tennessee 25 Arkansas 19

Spread Pick: Tennessee -1 -114 BetOnline
Moneyline Pick: Tennessee -115 Mybookie.ag
Total Pick: Under 52.5 -111 Pinnacle Sports