College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Tennessee vs. Auburn 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Tennessee visits Auburn on 11/21/2020 at 7:00PM.

Tennessee and Auburn face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Tennessee has a record of 2-4 this season. Auburn is 4-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Tennessee Team Defense Preview

Tennessee has had 63 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.86 plays per drive. Tennessee lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Tennessee has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 43.90% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Tennessee opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.6 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Tennessee is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Tennessee Team Offense Preview

Tennessee has had 64 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.22 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Tennessee is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Tennessee passes the football 42.81% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Tennessee is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.09 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Tennessee coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Tennessee Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Tennessee is a better passing team than running team this season.

Auburn Team Defense Preview

Auburn has had 63 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.3 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Auburn cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Auburn has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 45.09% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Auburn can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.95 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Auburn is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Auburn Team Offense Preview

Auburn has had 62 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.26 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Auburn. Auburn has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Auburn passes the football 52.06% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Auburn has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.3 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Auburn coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Auburn this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Auburn has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Tennessee Roster

The Players to Watch for Tennessee

Jarrett Guarantano QB 6-4 230

This season, Jarrett Guarantano has put up 956 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 127.3thus far this season. Jarrett Guarantano has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarrett Guarantano has 23.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 50.68 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 36.0 times this season, which puts him in the 79.86 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Eric Gray RB 5-10 205

This season, Eric Gray has 478 rushing yards on 110 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Eric Gray picked up 150 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Palmer WR 6-2 210

This season, Josh Palmer picked up 323 yards. He caught the ball 21 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Matthew Butler DL 6-4 291

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tennessee, Matthew Butler has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Trevon Flowers DB 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tennessee, Trevon Flowers had 39 tackles which puts him in the 93.98 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Trevon Flowers as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Auburn Roster

The Players to Watch for Auburn

Bo Nix QB 6-2 213

This season, Bo Nix has put up 1407 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 132.1thus far this season. Bo Nix has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Bo Nix has 274.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 93.86 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 62.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.13 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tank Bigsby RB 6-0 204

This season, Tank Bigsby has 503 rushing yards on 89 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tank Bigsby picked up 84 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Seth Williams WR 6-3 211

This season, Seth Williams picked up 511 yards. He caught the ball 28 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Daquan Newkirk DT 6-3 317

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Auburn, Daquan Newkirk has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 76.94 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 78.88 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Zykeivous Walker DE 6-4 266

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Auburn, Zykeivous Walker has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 52.47 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jamien Sherwood DB 6-2 220

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Auburn, Jamien Sherwood had 43 tackles which puts him in the 96.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jamien Sherwood as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tennessee vs. Auburn Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Tennessee 18 Auburn 28

Spread Pick: No Action
Moneyline Pick: Auburn -372 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 51 -115 Bodog