College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Tennessee visits Vanderbilt on 12/12/2020 at 4:00PM.

Tennessee and Vanderbilt face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Tennessee has a record of 2-6 this season. Vanderbilt is 0-8 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Tennessee Team Defense Preview

Tennessee has had 83 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.0 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Tennessee cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Tennessee message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 48.39% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Tennessee opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Tennessee can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.6 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Tennessee is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Tennessee Team Offense Preview

Tennessee has had 86 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.49 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Tennessee is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Tennessee passes the football 46.19% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Tennessee has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.16 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Tennessee coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Tennessee Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Tennessee has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Vanderbilt Team Defense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 73 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.48 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Vanderbilt message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 55.50% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Vanderbilt is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.27 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Vanderbilt is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Vanderbilt Team Offense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 69 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.13 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Vanderbilt. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Vanderbilt passes the football 49.88% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Vanderbilt is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.72 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Vanderbilt Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Vanderbilt is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Tennessee Roster

The Players to Watch for Tennessee

Jarrett Guarantano QB 6-4 230

This season, Jarrett Guarantano has put up 1112 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.4thus far this season. Jarrett Guarantano has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarrett Guarantano has 17.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 44.6 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 41.0 times this season, which puts him in the 75.93 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Eric Gray RB 5-10 205

This season, Eric Gray has 698 rushing yards on 144 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Eric Gray picked up 245 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Palmer WR 6-2 210

This season, Josh Palmer picked up 367 yards. He caught the ball 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Matthew Butler DL 6-4 291.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Tennessee, Matthew Butler has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 64.24 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 66.28 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Trevon Flowers DB 5-11 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tennessee, Trevon Flowers had 51 tackles which puts him in the 95.32 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Trevon Flowers as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Vanderbilt Roster

The Players to Watch for Vanderbilt

Ken Seals QB 6-3 218

This season, Ken Seals has put up 1689 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 9 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 128.9thus far this season. Ken Seals has thrown 9 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ken Seals has -33.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 5.56 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 38.0 times this season, which puts him in the 73.15 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Keyon Brooks RB 6-1 200

This season, Keyon Brooks has 438 rushing yards on 100 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Keyon Brooks picked up 239 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 25 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cam Johnson WR 6-0 198

This season, Cam Johnson picked up 481 yards. He caught the ball 49 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dayo Odeyingbo DL 6-6 276.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Vanderbilt, Dayo Odeyingbo has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anfernee Orji S 6-2 224.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Anfernee Orji had 53 tackles which puts him in the 96.3 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Anfernee Orji as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Jaylen Mahoney CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Vanderbilt, Jaylen Mahoney had 49 tackles which puts him in the 98.58 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 91.5 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jaylen Mahoney as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Tennessee 30 Vanderbilt 15

Spread Pick: No Action
Moneyline Pick: Tennessee -585 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 50.5 -109 Pinnacle Sports