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Texas A&M vs. Auburn 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Texas A&M visits Auburn on 12/5/2020 at 12:00PM.

Texas A&M and Auburn face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Texas A&M has a record of 6-1 this season. Auburn is 5-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Texas A&M Team Defense Preview

Texas A&M has had 74 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.76 plays per drive. Texas A&M lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Texas A&M opponents pass the football 59.62% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Texas A&M is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas A&M can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.96 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Texas A&M is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas A&M Team Offense Preview

Texas A&M has had 80 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.71 plays per drive. Texas A&M runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Texas A&M has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Texas A&M passes the football 49.67% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Texas A&M struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.98 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Texas A&M this season. Texas A&M is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Texas A&M has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Auburn Team Defense Preview

Auburn has had 82 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.17 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Auburn cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Auburn has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Auburn opponents pass the football 46.44% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Auburn can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.1 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Auburn is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Auburn Team Offense Preview

Auburn has had 79 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.39 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Auburn. Auburn is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Auburn passes the football 52.08% of the time.Auburn tends to pass more than other teams.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.26 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Auburn has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Auburn has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Texas A&M Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas A&M

Kellen Mond QB 6-3 217

This season, Kellen Mond has put up 1573 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 143.0thus far this season. Kellen Mond has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kellen Mond has 139.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 83.81 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 41.0 times this season, which puts him in the 80.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Spiller RB 6-1 225

This season, Isaiah Spiller has 784 rushing yards on 130 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Isaiah Spiller picked up 104 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chase Lane WR 6-0 190

This season, Chase Lane picked up 323 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jayden Peevy DL 6-6 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Texas A&M, Jayden Peevy has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.63 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Leon O’Neal Jr. DB 6-1 210.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas A&M, Leon O’Neal Jr. had 34 tackles which puts him in the 86.82 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Leon O’Neal Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.96 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Auburn Roster

The Players to Watch for Auburn

Bo Nix QB 6-2 213

This season, Bo Nix has put up 1854 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 7 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 128.4thus far this season. Bo Nix has thrown 7 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Bo Nix has 283.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 92.38 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 80.0 times this season, which puts him in the 93.65 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tank Bigsby RB 6-0 204

This season, Tank Bigsby has 566 rushing yards on 103 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tank Bigsby picked up 84 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Seth Williams WR 6-3 211

This season, Seth Williams picked up 580 yards. He caught the ball 36 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Daquan Newkirk DT 6-3 317

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Auburn, Daquan Newkirk has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 89.68 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Big Cat Bryant DE 6-5 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Auburn, Big Cat Bryant has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 82.48 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jamien Sherwood DB 6-2 220.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Auburn, Jamien Sherwood had 54 tackles which puts him in the 96.89 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 94.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Jamien Sherwood as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Texas A&M vs. Auburn Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Texas A&M 28 Auburn 26

Spread Pick: Auburn +7 -113 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: Texas A&M -225 BetOnline
Total Pick: Over 48 -110 BetOnline