College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Texas vs. Kansas State 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Texas visits Kansas State on 12/5/2020 at 12:00PM.

Texas and Kansas State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Texas has a record of 5-3 this season. Kansas State is 4-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Texas Team Defense Preview

Texas has had 108 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.19 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Texas is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Texas has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 55.26% of their opponents’ play calls.Texas tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Texas opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.26 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Texas is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas Team Offense Preview

Texas has had 107 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.15 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Texas is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Texas is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 52.81% of their play calls.Texas tends to pass more than other teams.

Texas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas can take credit for 2.94 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Texas Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Texas has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Kansas State Team Defense Preview

Kansas State has had 98 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.82 plays per drive. Kansas State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Kansas State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Kansas State opponents pass the football 53.33% of the time.Kansas State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Kansas State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.76 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Kansas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kansas State Team Offense Preview

Kansas State has had 98 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.62 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kansas State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Kansas State passes the football 44.15% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Kansas State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Kansas State can take credit for 2.37 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Kansas State Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Kansas State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Texas Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas

Sam Ehlinger QB 6-3 225

This season, Sam Ehlinger has put up 2132 yards and 23 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 146.6thus far this season. Sam Ehlinger has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Ehlinger has 388.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.19 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 105.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.41 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 8.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bijan Robinson RB 6-0 222

This season, Bijan Robinson has 348 rushing yards on 67 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bijan Robinson picked up 108 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Brennan Eagles WR 6-4 229

This season, Brennan Eagles picked up 428 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jacoby Jones DL 6-4 264

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Texas, Jacoby Jones has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Caden Sterns DB 6-1 207.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas, Caden Sterns had 52 tackles which puts him in the 96.63 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Caden Sterns as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Kansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas State

Will Howard QB 6-4 230

This season, Will Howard has put up 1004 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 115.0thus far this season. Will Howard has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Will Howard has 285.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 92.7 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 60.0 times this season, which puts him in the 86.98 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deuce Vaughn RB 5-5 168

This season, Deuce Vaughn has 527 rushing yards on 113 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deuce Vaughn picked up 389 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 21 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chabastin Taylor WR 6-4 223

This season, Chabastin Taylor picked up 293 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Drew Wiley DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Drew Wiley has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.62 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 97.94 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khalid Duke DE 6-3 244

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Kansas State, Khalid Duke has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 78.17 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jahron McPherson DB 6-1 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas State, Jahron McPherson had 51 tackles which puts him in the 96.5 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 97.02 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Jahron McPherson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.96 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Texas vs. Kansas State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Texas 32 Kansas State 25

Spread Pick: No Action
Moneyline Pick: Texas -274 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 49.5 -118 Bookmaker