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Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Texas Tech visits Oklahoma State on 11/28/2020 at 12:00PM.

Texas Tech and Oklahoma State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Texas Tech has a record of 3-5 this season. Oklahoma State is 5-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Texas Tech Team Defense Preview

Texas Tech has had 99 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.75 plays per drive. Texas Tech lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Texas Tech has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Texas Tech opponents pass the football 50.26% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas Tech can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.02 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Texas Tech is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas Tech Team Offense Preview

Texas Tech has had 100 total drives this season and they generate 5.27 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Texas Tech is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Texas Tech passes the football 58.06% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.89 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Texas Tech Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Texas Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Oklahoma State Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 88 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.92 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 48.27% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Oklahoma State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Oklahoma State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.61 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Oklahoma State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Oklahoma State Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma State has had 88 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.14 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Oklahoma State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 43.36% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Oklahoma State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.37 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Oklahoma State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Oklahoma State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Texas Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas Tech

Alan Bowman QB 6-3 215

This season, Alan Bowman has put up 1095 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 130.7thus far this season. Alan Bowman has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Alan Bowman has 21.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 50.49 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 4.0 times this season, which puts him in the 25.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

SaRodorick Thompson RB 6-0 210

This season, SaRodorick Thompson has 460 rushing yards on 85 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, SaRodorick Thompson picked up 101 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Erik Ezukanma WR 6-3 220

This season, Erik Ezukanma picked up 545 yards. He caught the ball 37 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tony Bradford Jr. DL 6-1 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas Tech, Tony Bradford Jr. has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Eric Monroe DB 5-11 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas Tech, Eric Monroe had 49 tackles which puts him in the 97.09 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 95.56 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Eric Monroe as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Oklahoma State Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma State

Spencer Sanders QB 6-1 205

This season, Spencer Sanders has put up 863 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 137.5thus far this season. Spencer Sanders has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Sanders has 91.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 77.05 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 53.0 times this season, which puts him in the 86.56 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chuba Hubbard RB 6-0 208

This season, Chuba Hubbard has 625 rushing yards on 133 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chuba Hubbard picked up 52 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tylan Wallace WR 6-0 190

This season, Tylan Wallace picked up 651 yards. He caught the ball 39 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Israel Antwine DT 6-4 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Israel Antwine has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.08 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tyler Lacy DE 6-4 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma State, Tyler Lacy has 22 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.29 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Trey Sterling S 5-11 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Trey Sterling had 48 tackles which puts him in the 96.73 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 5 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.92 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Trey Sterling as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Thomas Harper CB 5-10 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oklahoma State, Thomas Harper had 23 tackles which puts him in the 86.7 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Thomas Harper as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Texas Tech 18 Oklahoma State 37

Spread Pick: Oklahoma State -10.5 -105 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma State -389 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 53 -109 Bookmaker