College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Texas Tech vs. TCU 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Texas Tech visits TCU on 11/7/2020 at 3:30PM.

Texas Tech and TCU face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Texas Tech has a record of 2-4 this season. TCU is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Texas Tech Team Defense Preview

Texas Tech has had 73 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.85 plays per drive. Texas Tech lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Texas Tech message boards are flights of fantasy. Texas Tech opponents pass the football 54.57% of the time.Texas Tech tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas Tech can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.09 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Texas Tech is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas Tech Team Offense Preview

Texas Tech has had 72 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.36 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Texas Tech has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Texas Tech passes the football 57.25% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Texas Tech struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas Tech can take credit for 2.79 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Texas Tech Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Texas Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

TCU Team Defense Preview

TCU has had 64 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.63 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 48.31% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

TCU opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? TCU can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.37 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!TCU has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

TCU Team Offense Preview

TCU has had 66 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.21 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, TCU is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. TCU passes the football 48.55% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

TCU struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. TCU can take credit for 2.72 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the TCU Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. TCU has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Texas Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas Tech

Alan Bowman QB 6-3 215

This season, Alan Bowman has put up 914 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 132.8thus far this season. Alan Bowman has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Alan Bowman has 21.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 53.53 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 4.0 times this season, which puts him in the 28.63 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

SaRodorick Thompson RB 6-0 210

This season, SaRodorick Thompson has 378 rushing yards on 68 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, SaRodorick Thompson picked up 69 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Erik Ezukanma WR 6-3 220

This season, Erik Ezukanma picked up 430 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tony Bradford Jr. DL 6-1 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas Tech, Tony Bradford Jr. has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Zech McPhearson DB 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas Tech, Zech McPhearson had 34 tackles which puts him in the 94.17 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Zech McPhearson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The TCU Roster

The Players to Watch for TCU

Max Duggan QB 6-2 201

This season, Max Duggan has put up 1040 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 141.9thus far this season. Max Duggan has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Max Duggan has 175.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.98 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 61.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.31 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Darwin Barlow RB 5-11 204

This season, Darwin Barlow has 228 rushing yards on 39 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Darwin Barlow picked up 31 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Taye Barber WR 5-9 185

This season, Taye Barber picked up 256 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Cooper DT 6-2 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Terrell Cooper has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.44 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 82.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ochaun Mathis DE 6-5 247

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for TCU, Ochaun Mathis has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

La’Kendrick Van Zandt S 6-1 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, La’Kendrick Van Zandt had 25 tackles which puts him in the 86.08 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. La’Kendrick Van Zandt as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 96.9 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson CB 5-9 177

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for TCU, Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson had 15 tackles which puts him in the 79.0 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Texas Tech vs. TCU Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Texas Tech 24 TCU 31

Spread Pick: Texas Tech +10.5 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: TCU -335 Will Hill
Total Pick: Under 61 -115 BetOnline