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Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan 11/18/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Toledo visits Eastern Michigan on 11/18/2020 at 7:00PM.

Toledo and Eastern Michigan face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Toledo has a record of 1-1 this season. Eastern Michigan is 0-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Toledo Team Defense Preview

Toledo has had 24 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.21 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Toledo is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Toledo has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Toledo opponents pass the football 50.50% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Toledo is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Toledo can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.06 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Toledo has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Toledo has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Toledo Team Offense Preview

Toledo has had 23 total drives this season and they generate 6.04 plays per drive. Toledo runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Toledo is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Toledo passes the football 52.52% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Toledo struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Toledo can take credit for 2.85 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Toledo Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Toledo is a better passing team than running team this season.

Eastern Michigan Team Defense Preview

Eastern Michigan has had 23 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.57 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Eastern Michigan cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Eastern Michigan message boards are flights of fantasy. Eastern Michigan opponents pass the football 40.40% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Eastern Michigan can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.39 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Eastern Michigan has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Eastern Michigan Team Offense Preview

Eastern Michigan has had 21 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.33 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 49.62% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Eastern Michigan is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Eastern Michigan can take credit for 2.85 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Eastern Michigan Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Eastern Michigan is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Toledo Roster

The Players to Watch for Toledo

Eli Peters QB 6-2 195

This season, Eli Peters has put up 553 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 142.2thus far this season. Eli Peters has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Eli Peters has 48.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 64.6 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 10.0 times this season, which puts him in the 43.64 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bryant Koback RB 6-0 205

This season, Bryant Koback has 152 rushing yards on 45 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bryant Koback picked up 111 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Winstead WR 6-3 210

This season, Isaiah Winstead picked up 110 yards. He caught the ball 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Darius Alexander DT 6-4 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Toledo, Darius Alexander has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.37 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jamal Hines DE 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Toledo, Jamal Hines has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 53.04 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tycen Anderson S 6-2 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Toledo, Tycen Anderson had 7 tackles which puts him in the 41.33 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tycen Anderson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.53 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Samuel Womack CB 5-10 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Toledo, Samuel Womack had 6 tackles which puts him in the 43.79 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.15 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Samuel Womack as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.01 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Eastern Michigan Roster

The Players to Watch for Eastern Michigan

Preston Hutchinson QB 6-2 203

This season, Preston Hutchinson has put up 491 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 133.0thus far this season. Preston Hutchinson has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Preston Hutchinson has 88.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 77.32 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 28.0 times this season, which puts him in the 72.34 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Darius Boone Jr. RB 5-11 205

This season, Darius Boone Jr. has 68 rushing yards on 9 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Darius Boone Jr. picked up 13 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tanner Knue WR 5-11 171

This season, Tanner Knue picked up 166 yards. He caught the ball 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Alex Merritt DL 6-2 276

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Eastern Michigan, Alex Merritt has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 71.3 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Russ Vaden DB 6-3 212

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Eastern Michigan, Russ Vaden had 13 tackles which puts him in the 59.45 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Russ Vaden as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.53 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Toledo 43 Eastern Michigan 33

Spread Pick: Toledo -6.5 -110 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Toledo -228 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 61 -116 Pinnacle Sports