NHL Picks, Previews, and Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Prediction, Pick, and Preview 4/4/2022

The Toronto Maple Leafs takes on the Tampa Bay Lightning on 4/4/2022 at 07:35 PM.

Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning face off today. The Toronto Maple Leafs has a record of 44.0-19.0 this season. The Tampa Bay Lightning is 43.0-18.0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Defense Preview




They give up 2.5 goals per game in even strength situations. Opponents shoot 0.5 shots per game in power play situations per game against them and this is a sign of strength. Opponents force Toronto Maple Leafs into 2.8 penalty kill situations per game and they have kept penalties down relative to the rest of the NHL. They have a penalty kill rate of 83.85%, which is above average.

Opponents take 30.6 shots per game regardless of situation. They are doing an above average job denying shot attempts in volume and they are below average at keeping the puck from getting in the net.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Offense Preview

They score 2.8 goals per game in even strength situations. They have an above average offense in 5v5 action. They score 0.8 goals per game in power play situations. They are an above average team when they have an advantage. Thus far, they have had 2.7 power play opportunities per game this season and this would be considered below average, it may improve though. This means that they score on 29.83% of their shots on the power play, which makes them a pretty tough team on the power play.

They take 34.5 shots per game regardless of situation, they are getting their share of shot attempts and their shot quality is rather decent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Defense Preview

They give up 2.1 goals per game in even strength situations and this puts them as an above average defensive team in these situations. Opponents shoot 0.6 shots per game in power play situations per game against them and this is a sign of strength. Opponents force Tampa Bay Lightning into 3.1 penalty kill situations per game. They have a penalty kill rate of 81.52%, which is average.

Opponents take 29.6 shots per game regardless of situation, they actively fluster opponents and are among the best in the NHL… and they are average at keeping the puck from getting in the net.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Offense Preview




They score 2.5 goals per game in even strength situations. This is an average NHL offense. They score 0.7 goals per game in power play situations. They are average in power play situations, nothing special here. Thus far, they have had 3.1 power play opportunities per game this season, they do an above average job at drawing penalties. This means that they score on 22.17% of their shots on the power play.

They take 30.6 shots per game regardless of situation. They are not getting enough shot attempts as they would probably like and their shot quality is rather decent.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Roster

The Players to Watch for Toronto Maple Leafs

Morgan Rielly D

His impact is felt through his on-ice plus/minus, which is 11.0 this season, which generally means good things when he is on the ice. He has scored 9 goals this season, he is an average scoring threat and he has 49 assists this season, he is among the best in the NHL at setting up teammates. This puts him at 58 points this season, which makes him a very significant offensive player in the division. He makes 4.8% of his shots this season, he is among the weakest in shot efficiency in the NHL.

T.J. Brodie D

His impact is felt through his on-ice plus/minus, which is 18.0 this season, which generally means good things when he is on the ice. He has scored 4 goals this season, he is not as much of a factor as a scorer and he has 18 assists this season. This puts him at 22 points this season, he is an average offensive contributor. He makes 7.0% of his shots this season, he is among the weakest in shot efficiency in the NHL.

Auston Matthews C

His impact is felt through his on-ice plus/minus, which is 11.0 this season, which generally means good things when he is on the ice. He has scored 51 goals this season, which is among the best in the NHL and he has 37 assists this season, he is a strong distributor. This puts him at 88 points this season, which makes him a very significant offensive player in the NHL. He makes 17.8% of his shots this season, he is among the weakest in shot efficiency in the NHL.





The Tampa Bay Lightning Roster

The Players to Watch for Tampa Bay Lightning

Victor Hedman D

His impact is felt through his on-ice plus/minus, which is 17.0 this season, which generally means good things when he is on the ice. He has scored 19 goals this season, he is a scoring threat and he has 47 assists this season, he is among the best in the NHL at setting up teammates. This puts him at 66 points this season, which makes him a very significant offensive player in the division. He makes 10.5% of his shots this season, he is among the weakest in shot efficiency in the NHL.

Mikhail Sergachev D

His impact is felt through his on-ice plus/minus, which is 12.0 this season, which generally means good things when he is on the ice. He has scored 6 goals this season, he is not as much of a factor as a scorer and he has 27 assists this season, he is an above average distributor. This puts him at 33 points this season, he is an average offensive contributor. He makes 4.9% of his shots this season, he is among the weakest in shot efficiency in the NHL.

Ryan McDonagh D

His impact is felt through his on-ice plus/minus, which is 7.0 this season. He has scored 3 goals this season, he is not as much of a factor as a scorer and he has 18 assists this season. This puts him at 21 points this season, he is an average offensive contributor. He makes 4.0% of his shots this season, he is among the weakest in shot efficiency in the NHL.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +180 Bovada Get up to $750 with the promo code ‘BTCSWB750’