College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

UAB vs. Rice 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The UAB visits Rice on 12/12/2020 at 1:00PM.

UAB and Rice face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. UAB has a record of 4-3 this season. Rice is 2-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

UAB Team Defense Preview

UAB has had 85 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.04 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, UAB is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 52.80% of their opponents’ play calls.UAB tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

UAB opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.71 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!UAB is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

UAB Team Offense Preview

UAB has had 89 total drives this season and they generate 5.19 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, UAB is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. UAB is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. UAB passes the football 43.51% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

UAB struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. UAB can take credit for 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the UAB Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. UAB has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Rice Team Defense Preview

Rice has had 45 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.22 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Rice is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Rice has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 48.51% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Rice is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Rice can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.9 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Rice is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Rice Team Offense Preview

Rice has had 44 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.77 plays per drive. Rice runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Rice is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Rice passes the football 42.52% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Rice has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Rice can take credit for 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Rice Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Rice is a better passing team than running team this season.

The UAB Roster

The Players to Watch for UAB

Bryson Lucero QB 6-1 210

This season, Bryson Lucero has put up 969 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 114.7thus far this season. Bryson Lucero has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Bryson Lucero has -5.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 16.82 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 8.0 times this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Spencer Brown RB 6-0 220

This season, Spencer Brown has 740 rushing yards on 156 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 10 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Spencer Brown picked up 35 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Austin Watkins WR 6-3 210

This season, Austin Watkins picked up 466 yards. He caught the ball 33 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Antonio Moultrie DL 6-4 285.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for UAB, Antonio Moultrie has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 20.24 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 29.35 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Will Boler S 6-0 210.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UAB, Will Boler had 33 tackles which puts him in the 82.65 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Will Boler as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Brontae Harris CB 5-10 190

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for UAB, Brontae Harris had 23 tackles which puts him in the 80.03 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 97.73 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Brontae Harris as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.59 percentile among Corners this season.

The Rice Roster

The Players to Watch for Rice

Michael Collins QB 6-5 217

This season, Michael Collins has put up 802 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 176.0thus far this season. Michael Collins has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Michael Collins has -25.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 6.94 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 30.0 times this season, which puts him in the 67.59 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Khalan Griffin RB 5-10 215

This season, Khalan Griffin has 215 rushing yards on 58 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Khalan Griffin picked up 45 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Austin Trammell WR 5-10 185

This season, Austin Trammell picked up 335 yards. He caught the ball 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

De’braylon Carroll DT 6-0 287

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Rice, De’braylon Carroll has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 81.61 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 89.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Elijah Garcia DL 6-5 302.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Rice, Elijah Garcia has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 20.24 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 29.35 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Kirk Lockhart S 5-11 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Rice, Kirk Lockhart had 20 tackles which puts him in the 62.93 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kirk Lockhart as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Miles McCord CB 6-1 160

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Rice, Miles McCord had 14 tackles which puts him in the 61.19 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 77.62 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Miles McCord as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.59 percentile among Corners this season.

UAB vs. Rice Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: UAB 25 Rice 13

Spread Pick: UAB -7 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: UAB -255 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 44 -115 BetOnline