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UCLA vs. Arizona State 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The UCLA visits Arizona State on 12/5/2020 at 10:30PM.

UCLA and Arizona State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. UCLA has a record of 2-2 this season. Arizona State is 0-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

UCLA Team Defense Preview

UCLA has had 52 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.37 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UCLA has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 48.75% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

UCLA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.83 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. UCLA has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UCLA Team Offense Preview

UCLA has had 49 total drives this season and they generate 5.76 plays per drive. UCLA runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. UCLA has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 41.49% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, UCLA has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.34 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against UCLA this season. UCLA is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. UCLA has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Arizona State Team Defense Preview

Arizona State has had 14 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.29 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Arizona State cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Arizona State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 62.50% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Arizona State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Arizona State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.19 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Arizona State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Arizona State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Arizona State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Arizona State Team Offense Preview

Arizona State has had 12 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.92 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Arizona State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Arizona State passes the football 38.98% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Arizona State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Arizona State can take credit for 3.21 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Arizona State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Arizona State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Arizona State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The UCLA Roster

The Players to Watch for UCLA

Dorian Thompson-Robinson QB 6-1 200

This season, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has put up 499 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 144.0thus far this season. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has 161.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.35 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 21.0 times this season, which puts him in the 59.52 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Demetric Felton RB 5-10 200

This season, Demetric Felton has 537 rushing yards on 101 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Demetric Felton picked up 104 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kyle Phillips WR 5-11 184

This season, Kyle Phillips picked up 193 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Osa Odighizuwa DL 6-2 279

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for UCLA, Osa Odighizuwa has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.36 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 90.49 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Stephan Blaylock DB 5-10 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UCLA, Stephan Blaylock had 27 tackles which puts him in the 76.88 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Stephan Blaylock as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Arizona State Roster

The Players to Watch for Arizona State

Jayden Daniels QB 6-3 185

This season, Jayden Daniels has put up 134 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 111.1thus far this season. Jayden Daniels has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jayden Daniels has 111.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 78.89 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 11.0 times this season, which puts him in the 42.22 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deamonte Trayanum RB 5-11 230

This season, Deamonte Trayanum has 84 rushing yards on 12 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deamonte Trayanum picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

LV Bunkley-Shelton WR 5-11 190

This season, LV Bunkley-Shelton picked up 28 yards. He caught the ball 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jermayne Lole DL 6-1 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Arizona State, Jermayne Lole has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 82.48 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Evan Fields DB 6-1 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arizona State, Evan Fields had 17 tackles which puts him in the 59.89 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Evan Fields as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

UCLA vs. Arizona State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: UCLA 20 Arizona State 32

Spread Pick: Arizona State -3 -108 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Arizona State -145 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 55 -117 Bookmaker