College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

UCLA vs. Oregon 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The UCLA visits Oregon on 11/21/2020 at 3:30PM.

UCLA and Oregon face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. UCLA has a record of 1-1 this season. Oregon is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

UCLA Team Defense Preview

UCLA has had 26 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.46 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UCLA has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 46.48% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

UCLA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.95 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. UCLA has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UCLA Team Offense Preview

UCLA has had 24 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.33 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UCLA is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. UCLA passes the football 50.78% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

UCLA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.37 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against UCLA this season. UCLA is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. UCLA has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Oregon Team Defense Preview

Oregon has had 22 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.41 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Oregon has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Oregon opponents pass the football 53.78% of the time.Oregon tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Oregon opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Oregon can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.59 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Oregon is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Oregon Team Offense Preview

Oregon has had 21 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.95 plays per drive. Oregon runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Oregon, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 44.00% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Oregon can take credit for 3.96 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Oregon this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Oregon has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The UCLA Roster

The Players to Watch for UCLA

Dorian Thompson-Robinson QB 6-1 200

This season, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has put up 499 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 144.0thus far this season. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has 161.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.69 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 21.0 times this season, which puts him in the 64.68 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Demetric Felton RB 5-10 200

This season, Demetric Felton has 164 rushing yards on 35 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Demetric Felton picked up 74 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kyle Phillips WR 5-11 184

This season, Kyle Phillips picked up 62 yards. He caught the ball 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Osa Odighizuwa DL 6-2 279

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UCLA, Osa Odighizuwa has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Stephan Blaylock DB 5-10 185

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UCLA, Stephan Blaylock had 14 tackles which puts him in the 60.14 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Stephan Blaylock as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Oregon Roster

The Players to Watch for Oregon

Tyler Shough QB 6-5 221

This season, Tyler Shough has put up 539 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 171.0thus far this season. Tyler Shough has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tyler Shough has 166.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 87.37 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 20.0 times this season, which puts him in the 63.14 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

CJ Verdell RB 5-10 210

This season, CJ Verdell has 223 rushing yards on 38 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, CJ Verdell picked up 66 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaylon Redd WR 5-9 187

This season, Jaylon Redd picked up 128 yards. He caught the ball 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Austin Faoliu DT 6-3 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oregon, Austin Faoliu has 4 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 26.7 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Kayvon Thibodeaux DE 6-5 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oregon, Kayvon Thibodeaux has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.27 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Nick Pickett S 6-1 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oregon, Nick Pickett had 13 tackles which puts him in the 58.52 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nick Pickett as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Mykael Wright CB 5-11 182

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Oregon, Mykael Wright had 7 tackles which puts him in the 47.48 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Mykael Wright as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

UCLA vs. Oregon Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: UCLA 18 Oregon 38

Spread Pick: Oregon -14.5 -111 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: Oregon -505 BetMania
Total Pick: Under 66 -110 matchbook