College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

UNLV vs. Hawaii 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The UNLV visits Hawaii on 12/12/2020 at 11:00PM.

UNLV and Hawaii face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. UNLV has a record of 0-5 this season. Hawaii is 3-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

UNLV Team Defense Preview

UNLV has had 54 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.44 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on UNLV message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 46.26% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? UNLV can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.5 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. UNLV has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UNLV Team Offense Preview

UNLV has had 53 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.02 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to UNLV. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. UNLV passes the football 54.23% of the time.UNLV tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, UNLV has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. UNLV can take credit for 3.04 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The UNLV coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the UNLV Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. UNLV has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Hawaii Team Defense Preview

Hawaii has had 82 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Hawaii has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 39.13% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Hawaii is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.96 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Hawaii has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Hawaii Team Offense Preview

Hawaii has had 81 total drives this season and they generate 5.67 plays per drive. Hawaii runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Hawaii passes the football 55.34% of the time.Hawaii tends to pass more than other teams.

Hawaii is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.01 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Hawaii Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Hawaii has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The UNLV Roster

The Players to Watch for UNLV

The Hawaii Roster

The Players to Watch for Hawaii

Chevan Cordeiro QB 6-1 190

This season, Chevan Cordeiro has put up 1695 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 127.9thus far this season. Chevan Cordeiro has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chevan Cordeiro has 364.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 94.44 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 96.0 times this season, which puts him in the 95.99 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Miles Reed RB 5-8 190

This season, Miles Reed has 267 rushing yards on 65 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Miles Reed picked up 94 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Rico Bussey Jr. WR 6-2 190

This season, Rico Bussey Jr. picked up 264 yards. He caught the ball 30 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Justus Tavai DL 6-3 295.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Hawaii, Justus Tavai has 30 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 76.3 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 66.28 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Khoury Bethley DB 5-10 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Hawaii, Khoury Bethley had 49 tackles which puts him in the 94.22 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 5 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 98.3 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Khoury Bethley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

UNLV vs. Hawaii Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: UNLV 28 Hawaii 42

Spread Pick: UNLV +20.5 -102 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Hawaii -898 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 56.5 -111 Bookmaker