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UNLV vs. San Jose State 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The UNLV visits San Jose State on 11/14/2020 at 10:30PM.

UNLV and San Jose State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. UNLV has a record of 0-3 this season. San Jose State is 3-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

UNLV Team Defense Preview

UNLV has had 33 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.52 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UNLV has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. UNLV opponents pass the football 50.55% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

UNLV is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.45 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. UNLV has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UNLV Team Offense Preview

UNLV has had 33 total drives this season and they generate 6.48 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to UNLV. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 54.21% of their play calls.UNLV tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, UNLV has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. UNLV can take credit for 3.01 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the UNLV Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. UNLV has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

San Jose State Team Defense Preview

San Jose State has had 35 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.77 plays per drive. San Jose State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. San Jose State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 40.10% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

San Jose State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. San Jose State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

San Jose State Team Offense Preview

San Jose State has had 37 total drives this season and they generate 4.76 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, San Jose State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. San Jose State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 55.11% of their play calls.San Jose State tends to pass more than other teams.

San Jose State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.03 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against San Jose State this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. San Jose State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The UNLV Roster

The Players to Watch for UNLV

The San Jose State Roster

The Players to Watch for San Jose State

Nick Starkel QB 6-3 214

This season, Nick Starkel has put up 706 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 175.2thus far this season. Nick Starkel has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Starkel has -5.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 15.48 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 1.0 times this season, which puts him in the 10.14 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tyler Nevens RB 6-0 225

This season, Tyler Nevens has 73 rushing yards on 18 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tyler Nevens picked up 7 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bailey Gaither WR 6-1 182

This season, Bailey Gaither picked up 338 yards. He caught the ball 21 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Junior Fehoko DE 6-4 233

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for San Jose State, Junior Fehoko has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tre Webb S 6-0 202

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Jose State, Tre Webb had 23 tackles which puts him in the 80.72 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tre Webb as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Nehemiah Shelton CB 6-2 168

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Jose State, Nehemiah Shelton had 13 tackles which puts him in the 69.66 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nehemiah Shelton as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

UNLV vs. San Jose State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: UNLV 24 San Jose State 43

Spread Pick: San Jose State -15.5 -105 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: San Jose State -660 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 59 -108 Pinnacle Sports