College Basketball Picks, Predictions, and Previews

USC vs. Gonzaga 3/30/2021 NCAA Basketball Preview, Prediction, Picks

USC takes on Gonzaga on 3/30/2021 at 7:15PM.

USC and Gonzaga predictions are here in this article for you. It is TOURNAMENT TIME! Get excited people. Even if you did not submit a bracket, you can still find value in every game like it is the regular season. USC has a record of 25-7 this season. Gonzaga is 29-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

USC Team Defense Preview

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They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating. They fall in the middle defensively when it comes to opponent ball movement. Sometimes defenses are very focused on forcing bad shots and getting the defensive rebound. Is there anything to support this? It may be just possible that this is a passive defense.

They are doing a great job forcing bad shots from opposing offenses, they are among the leaders in the country. This defense discourages three point shots a bit more than others. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. They are doing a great job forcing terrible mid-range shots, they are among the leaders in the country at keeping opponents from getting optimal looks at the basket. Their ability to block shots is above average. This is an average defensive rebounding team, this is not a death knell for the team, but they should strive to be better.

USC Team Offense Preview

Getting excited about an offensive efficiency of 109.6 is going a bit overboard with an above-average offense. And nothing more than that. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. They tend to score a bit more off the dribble inside the perimeter than most. They do an above average job protecting the basketball and making decisions on offense.

Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.531, which considered to be slightly above average. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.553 which considered to be slightly above average. They attempt 0.312 of their shots from three point range. The three point shot is just not as important to this offense. They made 0.363 of their shots from three point range. They are a slightly above average three point shooting team. They are able to get to the Free Throw Line quite a bit, but they are not necessarily dependent upon it in their offense. They made 0.646 of their shots from the charity stripe. This is a team that will keep opponents in the game when up with a late narrow lead. They rebounded 34.9% of their missed shots. This is an above average offensive rebounding team.

Gonzaga Team Defense Preview

They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating. Want to score against this defense? They are not going to make it easy. If your movement without the ball and ball movement is not good, you will need to rely more heroic plays and challenging drives to the basket. Their ability to create live ball turnovers is above average.

This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. This defense discourages three point shots a bit more than others. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. This is a decent interior defense or schemed defense that is able to force more mid-range shots. This is not a team that excels at shot blocking. Either the personnel or strategy is not there. This is an elite level defensive rebounding team. Falling more than two standard deviations from the mean, this is impressive and indicative of a team that should have more on the horizon.

Gonzaga Team Offense Preview

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With an offensive efficiency of 122.4, Gonzaga has an elite offensive efficiency. This is a great offense. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just an offensive efficiency rating. Compared to the rest of the league, there is a sense of neutrality about ball movement to set up 2 point shots. This is a smooth running offense and the players make good decisions on the floor. This typically goes hand-in-hand with strong shot selection and higher Field Goal percentages.

Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.612, which is among the best in the country. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.636 which is among the best in the country. They attempt 0.332 of their shots from three point range. They take threes less often than many in College Basketball. They made 0.373 of their shots from three point range. They are an above average three point shooting team. Getting to the Free Throw Line is a neutral part of the offensive mindset and approach. They made 0.736 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They are a slightly above average Free Throw shooting team. They successfully retrieved 30.3% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.

The USC Roster

The Players to Watch for USC

Evan Mobley 7-0 210 pound Forward

Evan Mobley has a 29.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Evan Mobley this season has 0.121 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Evan Mobley shot 0.3 from long range this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Evan Mobley shot 0.621 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Evan Mobley has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Tahj Eaddy 6-2 165 pound Guard

Tahj Eaddy sports a 17.6 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Tahj Eaddy this season has 0.469 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Tahj Eaddy shot 0.39 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Tahj Eaddy shot 0.505 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

This season, when shots were missed, Tahj Eaddy is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Drew Peterson 6-8 185 pound Guard

Drew Peterson sports a 15.4 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Drew Peterson attempted 0.34 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.391 of his three point shots fired this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. He made 0.444 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Drew Peterson has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Isaiah Mobley 6-10 235 pound Forward

Isaiah Mobley has a 18.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Isaiah Mobley attempted 0.149 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Isaiah Mobley shot 0.444 from long range this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. Isaiah Mobley shot 0.468 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Isaiah Mobley has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Isaiah White 6-7 205 pound Guard

Isaiah White sports a 17.5 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Isaiah White this season has 0.386 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.364 of his three point shots fired this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. He made 0.581 of his two point shots attempted this season. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Isaiah White has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

Max Agbonkpolo 6-8 190 pound Forward

Max Agbonkpolo has a 8.0 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Max Agbonkpolo this season has 0.54 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. Max Agbonkpolo shot 0.246 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.5 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. His inability to prevent himself from committing turnovers is a massive liability for his team.

Defensive Breakdown

Max Agbonkpolo has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Ethan Anderson 6-1 210 pound Guard

Ethan Anderson sports a 9.5 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Ethan Anderson attempted 0.341 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Ethan Anderson shot 0.386 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. He made 0.388 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

This season, when shots were missed, Ethan Anderson is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. His inability to prevent himself from committing turnovers is a massive liability for his team.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Chevez Goodwin 6-9 215 pound Forward

Chevez Goodwin sports a 16.9 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Chevez Goodwin attempted 0.007 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Chevez Goodwin shot 0.0 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. Chevez Goodwin shot 0.554 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Chevez Goodwin has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

The Gonzaga Roster

The Players to Watch for Gonzaga

Corey Kispert 6-7 220 pound Forward

Corey Kispert sports a 26.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Corey Kispert this season has 0.519 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. He made 0.462 of his three point shots fired this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. Corey Kispert shot 0.639 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Corey Kispert is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Joel Ayayi 6-5 180 pound Guard

Joel Ayayi sports a 20.6 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Joel Ayayi this season has 0.384 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Joel Ayayi shot 0.385 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Joel Ayayi shot 0.671 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Joel Ayayi has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Joel Ayayi is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Andrew Nembhard 6-5 193 pound Guard

Andrew Nembhard sports a 16.1 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Andrew Nembhard attempted 0.437 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Andrew Nembhard shot 0.344 from long range this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Andrew Nembhard shot 0.595 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

This season, when shots were missed, Andrew Nembhard is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Andrew Nembhard has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Andrew Nembhard is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Drew Timme 6-10 235 pound Forward

Drew Timme sports a 33.0 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

Drew Timme this season has 0.059 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. He made 0.316 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. He made 0.679 of his two point shots attempted this season. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Drew Timme has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Jalen Suggs 6-4 205 pound Guard

Jalen Suggs has a 22.4 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Jalen Suggs this season has 0.333 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.322 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Jalen Suggs shot 0.583 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.

Defensive Breakdown

Jalen Suggs has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

Anton Watson 6-8 225 pound Forward

Anton Watson sports a 20.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Anton Watson this season has 0.146 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Anton Watson shot 0.15 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.726 of his two point shots attempted this season. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Anton Watson has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

USC vs. Gonzaga Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: USC 76 Gonzaga 77

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Over Pick: Over 152 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.

Scores and Stats Picks for USC and Gonzaga

Spread Pick: Gonzaga -8.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
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