College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Utah vs. Washington 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Utah visits Washington on 11/28/2020 at 7:30PM.

Utah and Washington face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Utah has a record of 0-1 this season. Washington is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Utah Team Defense Preview

Utah has had 14 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.71 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Utah is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Utah has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 54.55% of their opponents’ play calls.Utah tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Utah opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 1.83 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Utah is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Utah Team Offense Preview

Utah has had 13 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.62 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Utah is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Utah passes the football 60.00% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Utah struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Utah can take credit for 2.8 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Utah has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Utah is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Utah is a better passing team than running team this season.

Washington Team Defense Preview

Washington has had 17 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.82 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Washington is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Washington has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Washington opponents pass the football 50.00% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Washington can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.31 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Washington has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Washington Team Offense Preview

Washington has had 18 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.72 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Washington. Any defense is in for a challenge with Washington, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 34.71% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Washington is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.06 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Washington coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Washington has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Washington is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Washington has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Utah Roster

The Players to Watch for Utah

Jake Bentley QB 6-4 220

This season, Jake Bentley has put up 171 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 105.9thus far this season. Jake Bentley has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jake Bentley has 24.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 52.95 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 4.0 times this season, which puts him in the 25.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ty Jordan RB 5-7 200

This season, Ty Jordan has 32 rushing yards on 7 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ty Jordan picked up 21 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bryan Thompson WR 6-2 207

This season, Bryan Thompson picked up 48 yards. He caught the ball 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Viane Moala DT 6-6 323

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Utah, Viane Moala has 1 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 25.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Mika Tafua DE 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Utah, Mika Tafua has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 51.58 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Vonte Davis S 6-0 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Utah, Vonte Davis had 7 tackles which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Vonte Davis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Clark Phillips III CB 5-10 191

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Utah, Clark Phillips III had 9 tackles which puts him in the 52.29 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 78.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Clark Phillips III as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Washington Roster

The Players to Watch for Washington

Dylan Morris QB 6-0 200

This season, Dylan Morris has put up 371 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.3thus far this season. Dylan Morris has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dylan Morris has 21.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 50.49 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 10.0 times this season, which puts him in the 42.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Sean McGrew RB 5-7 175

This season, Sean McGrew has 126 rushing yards on 20 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Sean McGrew picked up 2 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Bynum WR 6-1 190

This season, Terrell Bynum picked up 86 yards. He caught the ball 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sam Taimani DL 6-2 335

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Washington, Sam Taimani has 4 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 22.49 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Elijah Molden DB 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Washington, Elijah Molden had 10 tackles which puts him in the 48.52 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Elijah Molden as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Utah vs. Washington Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Utah 23 Washington 25

Spread Pick: Utah +7 -106 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Washington -259 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 47.5 -110 Bookmaker