College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

UTEP vs. UTSA 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The UTEP visits UTSA on 11/14/2020 at 3:00PM.

UTEP and UTSA face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. UTEP has a record of 3-3 this season. UTSA is 4-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

UTEP Team Defense Preview

UTEP has had 60 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.02 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, UTEP is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. UTEP opponents pass the football 51.50% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

UTEP opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.32 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. UTEP should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. UTEP is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

UTEP Team Offense Preview

UTEP has had 59 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.03 plays per drive. UTEP runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 48.88% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

UTEP struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.42 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the UTEP Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. UTEP is a better passing team than running team this season.

UTSA Team Defense Preview

UTSA has had 88 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.3 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UTSA has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. UTSA opponents pass the football 48.50% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

UTSA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? UTSA can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.76 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

UTSA has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. UTSA should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. UTSA has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UTSA Team Offense Preview

UTSA has had 91 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.55 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. UTSA passes the football 49.31% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

UTSA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.83 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the UTSA Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. UTSA is a better passing team than running team this season.

The UTEP Roster

The Players to Watch for UTEP

Gavin Hardison QB 6-3 205

This season, Gavin Hardison has put up 1260 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 114.1thus far this season. Gavin Hardison has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Gavin Hardison has -14.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 8.72 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 22.0 times this season, which puts him in the 68.51 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Deion Hankins RB 6-0 215

This season, Deion Hankins has 419 rushing yards on 83 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deion Hankins picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jacob Cowing WR 5-11 170

This season, Jacob Cowing picked up 515 yards. He caught the ball 34 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keenan Stewart DT 6-2 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UTEP, Keenan Stewart has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.24 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.43 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Praise Amaewhule DE 6-3 245

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UTEP, Praise Amaewhule has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 99.31 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Dy’vonne Inyang DB 6-1 180

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UTEP, Dy’vonne Inyang had 28 tackles which puts him in the 88.17 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Dy’vonne Inyang as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Ilijah Johnson CB 5-11 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UTEP, Ilijah Johnson had 1 tackles which puts him in the 7.8 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ilijah Johnson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The UTSA Roster

The Players to Watch for UTSA

Frank Harris QB 6-0 200

This season, Frank Harris has put up 895 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 108.4thus far this season. Frank Harris has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Frank Harris has 264.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 94.66 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 61.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.17 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Sincere McCormick RB 5-9 200

This season, Sincere McCormick has 921 rushing yards on 171 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Sincere McCormick picked up 109 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zakhari Franklin WR 6-1 185

This season, Zakhari Franklin picked up 390 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Brandon Matterson DL 6-2 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UTSA, Brandon Matterson has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Rashad Wisdom S 5-10 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UTSA, Rashad Wisdom had 63 tackles which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Rashad Wisdom as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 96.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Corey Mayfield Jr. CB 5-11 195

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UTSA, Corey Mayfield Jr. had 28 tackles which puts him in the 96.78 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.39 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Corey Mayfield Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.08 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

UTEP vs. UTSA Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: UTEP 21 UTSA 34

Spread Pick: UTSA -6.5 -110 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: UTSA -235 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 45 -107 Pinnacle Sports