College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Vanderbilt visits Kentucky on 11/14/2020 at 12:00PM.

Vanderbilt and Kentucky face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Vanderbilt has a record of 0-5 this season. Kentucky is 2-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Vanderbilt Team Defense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 43 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.98 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Vanderbilt is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Vanderbilt has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 62.62% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Vanderbilt opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Vanderbilt is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Vanderbilt Team Offense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 42 total drives this season and they generate 5.74 plays per drive. Vanderbilt runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Vanderbilt passes the football 50.62% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Vanderbilt struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Vanderbilt can take credit for 2.64 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Vanderbilt Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Vanderbilt is a better passing team than running team this season.

Kentucky Team Defense Preview

Kentucky has had 68 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.84 plays per drive. Kentucky lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Kentucky has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Kentucky opponents pass the football 48.36% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Kentucky is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Kentucky can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.88 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Kentucky is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kentucky Team Offense Preview

Kentucky has had 62 total drives this season and they generate 5.42 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Kentucky is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 41.37% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Kentucky can take credit for 3.25 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Kentucky coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Kentucky Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Kentucky has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Vanderbilt Roster

The Players to Watch for Vanderbilt

Ken Seals QB 6-3 218

This season, Ken Seals has put up 1066 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 124.0thus far this season. Ken Seals has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ken Seals has -33.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 5.34 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 22.0 times this season, which puts him in the 68.51 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Keyon Brooks RB 6-1 200

This season, Keyon Brooks has 253 rushing yards on 56 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Keyon Brooks picked up 207 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cam Johnson WR 6-0 198

This season, Cam Johnson picked up 338 yards. He caught the ball 33 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dayo Odeyingbo DL 6-6 276

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Vanderbilt, Dayo Odeyingbo has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 93.53 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 96.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anfernee Orji S 6-2 224

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Anfernee Orji had 32 tackles which puts him in the 91.73 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Anfernee Orji as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jaylen Mahoney CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Jaylen Mahoney had 33 tackles which puts him in the 97.8 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.39 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jaylen Mahoney as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Kentucky Roster

The Players to Watch for Kentucky

Terry Wilson QB 6-3 202

This season, Terry Wilson has put up 599 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.8thus far this season. Terry Wilson has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Terry Wilson has 251.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 94.31 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 61.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.17 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. RB 5-11 224

This season, Christopher Rodriguez Jr. has 413 rushing yards on 75 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Christopher Rodriguez Jr. picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Ali WR 6-0 193

This season, Josh Ali picked up 325 yards. He caught the ball 30 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marquan McCall NT 6-3 379

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kentucky, Marquan McCall has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.14 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.43 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Joshua Paschal DE 6-3 278

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kentucky, Joshua Paschal has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Yusuf Corker DB 6-0 197

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kentucky, Yusuf Corker had 43 tackles which puts him in the 97.16 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Yusuf Corker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Marlin Devonshire CB 5-11 182

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kentucky, Marlin Devonshire had 1 tackles which puts him in the 7.8 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Marlin Devonshire as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Vanderbilt 12 Kentucky 28

Spread Pick: Vanderbilt +18 -113 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Kentucky -748 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 42 -112 Pinnacle Sports