College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Vanderbilt vs. Missouri 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Vanderbilt visits Missouri on 11/28/2020 at 12:00PM.

Vanderbilt and Missouri face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Vanderbilt has a record of 0-7 this season. Missouri is 3-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Vanderbilt Team Defense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 64 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.27 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Vanderbilt message boards are flights of fantasy. Vanderbilt opponents pass the football 55.49% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Vanderbilt is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Vanderbilt can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.17 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Vanderbilt is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Vanderbilt Team Offense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 61 total drives this season and they generate 6.31 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Vanderbilt. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Vanderbilt passes the football 49.87% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Vanderbilt has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Vanderbilt can take credit for 2.81 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Vanderbilt Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Vanderbilt is a better passing team than running team this season.

Missouri Team Defense Preview

Missouri has had 61 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.7 plays per drive. Missouri lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Missouri has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 52.59% of their opponents’ play calls.Missouri tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Missouri is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.03 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Missouri has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Missouri Team Offense Preview

Missouri has had 62 total drives this season and they generate 5.5 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Missouri is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Missouri passes the football 45.75% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Missouri struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.48 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Missouri this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Missouri has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Vanderbilt Roster

The Players to Watch for Vanderbilt

Ken Seals QB 6-3 218

This season, Ken Seals has put up 1610 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 9 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.8thus far this season. Ken Seals has thrown 9 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ken Seals has -43.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 4.1 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 29.0 times this season, which puts him in the 71.48 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Keyon Brooks RB 6-1 200

This season, Keyon Brooks has 374 rushing yards on 85 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Keyon Brooks picked up 215 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cam Johnson WR 6-0 198

This season, Cam Johnson picked up 448 yards. He caught the ball 44 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dayo Odeyingbo DL 6-6 276

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Vanderbilt, Dayo Odeyingbo has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anfernee Orji S 6-2 224.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Anfernee Orji had 48 tackles which puts him in the 96.73 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Anfernee Orji as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jaylen Mahoney CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Jaylen Mahoney had 45 tackles which puts him in the 98.62 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jaylen Mahoney as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Missouri Roster

The Players to Watch for Missouri

Connor Bazelak QB 6-3 220

This season, Connor Bazelak has put up 1304 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 139.0thus far this season. Connor Bazelak has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Connor Bazelak has 62.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.69 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 34.0 times this season, which puts him in the 75.74 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Larry Rountree III RB 5-10 210

This season, Larry Rountree III has 490 rushing yards on 122 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Larry Rountree III picked up 34 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Knox WR 6-0 196

This season, Jalen Knox picked up 248 yards. He caught the ball 25 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah McGuire DL 6-5 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Missouri, Isaiah McGuire has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 68.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 70.17 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Martez Manuel S 6-1 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Missouri, Martez Manuel had 36 tackles which puts him in the 90.99 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 5 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.92 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 2 times last season. Martez Manuel as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Vanderbilt vs. Missouri Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Vanderbilt 16 Missouri 29

Spread Pick: Vanderbilt +14.5 -115 WagerWeb
Moneyline Pick: Missouri -532 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 51 -113 Pinnacle Sports