College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Virginia vs. Virginia Tech 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Virginia visits Virginia Tech on 12/12/2020 at 8:00PM.

Virginia and Virginia Tech face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Virginia has a record of 5-4 this season. Virginia Tech is 4-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Virginia Team Defense Preview

Virginia has had 111 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.25 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Virginia opponents pass the football 52.66% of the time.Virginia tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Virginia is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Virginia can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Virginia is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Virginia Team Offense Preview

Virginia has had 112 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.55 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Virginia is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Virginia passes the football 52.25% of the time.Virginia tends to pass more than other teams.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.34 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Virginia this season. Virginia is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Virginia has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Virginia Tech Team Defense Preview

Virginia Tech has had 117 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.69 plays per drive. Virginia Tech lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Virginia Tech has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 51.20% of their opponents’ play calls.Virginia Tech tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Virginia Tech can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.26 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Virginia Tech has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Virginia Tech Team Offense Preview

Virginia Tech has had 118 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.17 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Virginia Tech is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Any defense is in for a challenge with Virginia Tech, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 38.69% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Virginia Tech has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Virginia Tech can take credit for 3.27 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Virginia Tech Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Virginia Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Virginia Roster

The Players to Watch for Virginia

Brennan Armstrong QB 6-2 215

This season, Brennan Armstrong has put up 1858 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 9 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 145.4thus far this season. Brennan Armstrong has thrown 9 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brennan Armstrong has 529.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 98.46 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 111.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.99 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Wayne Taulapapa RB 5-9 210

This season, Wayne Taulapapa has 387 rushing yards on 86 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Wayne Taulapapa picked up 65 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Lavel Davis WR 6-7 210

This season, Lavel Davis picked up 440 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jowon Briggs DT 6-1 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Virginia, Jowon Briggs has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 95.74 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Mandy Alonso DE 6-2 280.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Virginia, Mandy Alonso has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 82.04 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 80.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

D’Angelo Amos DB 6-1 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Virginia, D’Angelo Amos had 47 tackles which puts him in the 93.37 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 93.75 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. D’Angelo Amos as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Nick Grant CB 6-1 200

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Virginia, Nick Grant had 23 tackles which puts him in the 80.03 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Nick Grant as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.48 percentile among Corners this season.

The Virginia Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Virginia Tech

Hendon Hooker QB 6-4 228

This season, Hendon Hooker has put up 1339 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 153.5thus far this season. Hendon Hooker has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Hendon Hooker has 620.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 99.38 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 120.0 times this season, which puts him in the 99.23 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 9.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Khalil Herbert RB 5-9 205

This season, Khalil Herbert has 1021 rushing yards on 135 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Khalil Herbert picked up 179 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tre Turner WR 6-2 190

This season, Tre Turner picked up 504 yards. He caught the ball 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Amare Barno DL 6-6 235.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Virginia Tech, Amare Barno has 37 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 14 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.8 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Chamarri Conner DB 6-0 211.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Virginia Tech, Chamarri Conner had 76 tackles which puts him in the 99.45 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 96.51 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Chamarri Conner as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Devin Taylor CB 6-1 200

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Virginia Tech, Devin Taylor had 50 tackles which puts him in the 98.87 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 91.5 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Devin Taylor as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.48 percentile among Corners this season.

Virginia vs. Virginia Tech Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Virginia 24 Virginia Tech 37

Spread Pick: Virginia Tech -2 -161 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: Virginia Tech -138 BetOnline
Total Pick: Under 63.5 -111 Bookmaker