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Wake Forest vs. Louisville 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Wake Forest visits Louisville on 12/12/2020 at 12:00PM.

Wake Forest and Louisville face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Wake Forest has a record of 4-3 this season. Louisville is 3-7 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Wake Forest Team Defense Preview

Wake Forest has had 78 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. Wake Forest lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Wake Forest has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Wake Forest opponents pass the football 50.00% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Wake Forest opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.85 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Wake Forest has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Wake Forest Team Offense Preview

Wake Forest has had 76 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.72 plays per drive. Wake Forest runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Wake Forest is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 46.90% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Wake Forest is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.79 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Wake Forest Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Wake Forest is a better passing team than running team this season.

Louisville Team Defense Preview

Louisville has had 105 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.47 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 41.46% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Louisville is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Louisville can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Louisville is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Louisville Team Offense Preview

Louisville has had 111 total drives this season and they generate 5.6 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Louisville is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Louisville passes the football 48.07% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Louisville struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.92 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Louisville Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Louisville is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Wake Forest Roster

The Players to Watch for Wake Forest

Sam Hartman QB 6-1 215

This season, Sam Hartman has put up 1682 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 148.6thus far this season. Sam Hartman has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Hartman has -20.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 8.02 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 54.0 times this season, which puts him in the 83.8 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Christian Beal RB 5-10 201

This season, Christian Beal has 592 rushing yards on 107 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Christian Beal picked up 18 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaquarii Roberson WR 6-1 182

This season, Jaquarii Roberson picked up 657 yards. He caught the ball 45 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Carlos Basham Jr. DL 6-5 285.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Wake Forest, Carlos Basham Jr. has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 82.04 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 96.59 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 4 fumbles this season.

Nick Anderson DB 5-11 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Wake Forest, Nick Anderson had 45 tackles which puts him in the 92.47 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Nick Anderson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 98.17 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Louisville Roster

The Players to Watch for Louisville

Malik Cunningham QB 6-1 200

This season, Malik Cunningham has put up 2420 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown 12 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 148.1thus far this season. Malik Cunningham has thrown 12 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Malik Cunningham has 571.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 98.77 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 118.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.77 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Javian Hawkins RB 5-9 196

This season, Javian Hawkins has 822 rushing yards on 133 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Javian Hawkins picked up 127 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dez Fitzpatrick WR 6-2 210

This season, Dez Fitzpatrick picked up 756 yards. He caught the ball 37 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jared Goldwire DL 6-6 305.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Louisville, Jared Goldwire has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.83 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 80.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Russ Yeast DB 5-11 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisville, Russ Yeast had 41 tackles which puts him in the 89.97 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Russ Yeast as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Kei`Trel Clark CB 5-10 160

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Louisville, Kei`Trel Clark had 32 tackles which puts him in the 93.77 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 91.5 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kei`Trel Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.59 percentile among Corners this season.

Wake Forest vs. Louisville Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Wake Forest 32 Louisville 37

Spread Pick: Louisville -1 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Louisville -113 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 62.5 -115 BetOnline