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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Wake Forest visits North Carolina on 11/14/2020 at 12:00PM.

Wake Forest and North Carolina face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Wake Forest has a record of 4-2 this season. North Carolina is 5-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Wake Forest Team Defense Preview

Wake Forest has had 62 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.9 plays per drive. Wake Forest lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Wake Forest has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Wake Forest opponents pass the football 48.36% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Wake Forest is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Wake Forest can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.85 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Wake Forest has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Wake Forest Team Offense Preview

Wake Forest has had 60 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.77 plays per drive. Wake Forest runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Wake Forest is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 44.80% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Wake Forest is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Wake Forest Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Wake Forest is a better passing team than running team this season.

North Carolina Team Defense Preview

North Carolina has had 77 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. North Carolina has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. North Carolina opponents pass the football 51.83% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? North Carolina can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.18 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. North Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Carolina Team Offense Preview

North Carolina has had 75 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.92 plays per drive. North Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with North Carolina, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.North Carolina passes the football 47.52% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, North Carolina has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.39 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against North Carolina this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. North Carolina has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Wake Forest Roster

The Players to Watch for Wake Forest

Sam Hartman QB 6-1 215

This season, Sam Hartman has put up 1253 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 141.0thus far this season. Sam Hartman has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Hartman has -22.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 6.94 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 41.0 times this season, which puts him in the 83.45 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kenneth Walker III RB 5-10 206

This season, Kenneth Walker III has 528 rushing yards on 106 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 11 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kenneth Walker III picked up 11 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaquarii Roberson WR 6-1 182

This season, Jaquarii Roberson picked up 490 yards. He caught the ball 33 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Carlos Basham Jr. DL 6-5 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Wake Forest, Carlos Basham Jr. has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 98.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 4 fumbles this season.

Nick Anderson DB 5-11 185

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Wake Forest, Nick Anderson had 38 tackles which puts him in the 94.52 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Nick Anderson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.28 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The North Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina

Sam Howell QB 6-1 225

This season, Sam Howell has put up 2081 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 175.8thus far this season. Sam Howell has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Howell has 52.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 66.9 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 56.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.28 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Javonte Williams RB 5-10 220

This season, Javonte Williams has 767 rushing yards on 107 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 14 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Javonte Williams picked up 234 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dyami Brown WR 6-1 185

This season, Dyami Brown picked up 666 yards. He caught the ball 37 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tomari Fox DL 6-2 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina, Tomari Fox has 37 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 96.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cam’Ron Kelly DB 6-2 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina, Cam’Ron Kelly had 43 tackles which puts him in the 97.16 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cam’Ron Kelly as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Wake Forest 23 North Carolina 41

Spread Pick: North Carolina -12.5 -110 JazzSports
Moneyline Pick: North Carolina -432 BetMania
Total Pick: Under 69 -110 bet365