College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

West Virginia vs. Army 12/31/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The West Virginia visits Army on 12/31/2020 at 4:00PM.

West Virginia and Army face off in a Bowl Game. Yes, it is the truncated postseason of College Football leading up to the College Football Playoff Semifinals. West Virginia has a record of 5-4 this season. Army is 9-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

West Virginia Team Defense Preview

West Virginia has had 100 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.04 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, West Virginia is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 49.01% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

West Virginia opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.42 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

West Virginia has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!West Virginia has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

West Virginia Team Offense Preview

West Virginia has had 105 total drives this season and they generate 5.62 plays per drive. West Virginia runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. West Virginia is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. West Virginia passes the football 57.29% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

West Virginia is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.48 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the West Virginia Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. West Virginia is a better passing team than running team this season.

Army Team Defense Preview

Army has had 108 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.81 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Army is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Army opponents pass the football 45.38% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Army opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.42 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Army should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Army is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Army Team Offense Preview

Army has had 104 total drives this season and they generate 5.9 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Army. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 11.24% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Army can take credit for 2.91 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Army has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Army has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The West Virginia Roster

The Players to Watch for West Virginia

Jarret Doege QB 6-2 208

This season, Jarret Doege has put up 2428 yards and 13 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 133.2thus far this season. Jarret Doege has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarret Doege has -80.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 0.6 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 37.0 times this season, which puts him in the 71.34 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Leddie Brown RB 5-11 210

This season, Leddie Brown has 945 rushing yards on 179 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Leddie Brown picked up 202 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Winston Wright WR 5-10 180

This season, Winston Wright picked up 528 yards. He caught the ball 45 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dante Stills DL 6-4 280.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for West Virginia, Dante Stills has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 94.7 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 79.19 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tykee Smith S 5-10 198.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for West Virginia, Tykee Smith had 61 tackles which puts him in the 96.46 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 8 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.63 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tykee Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.54 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Alonzo Addae CB 5-11 189

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for West Virginia, Alonzo Addae had 61 tackles which puts him in the 99.45 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 33.29 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Alonzo Addae as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 92.13 percentile among Corners this season.

The Army Roster

The Players to Watch for Army

Christian Anderson QB 6-1 195

This season, Christian Anderson has put up 158 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 64.8thus far this season. Christian Anderson has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Christian Anderson has 398.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 94.03 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 90.0 times this season, which puts him in the 91.94 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jakobi Buchanan RB 6-0 260

This season, Jakobi Buchanan has 474 rushing yards on 111 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jakobi Buchanan picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Michael Roberts WR 6-3 235

This season, Michael Roberts picked up 106 yards. He caught the ball 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nolan Cockrill DL 6-3 280.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Army, Nolan Cockrill has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 92.32 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 79.19 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Cedrick Cunningham Jr. DB 6-0 215.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Army, Cedrick Cunningham Jr. had 64 tackles which puts him in the 97.24 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 7 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.3 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Cedrick Cunningham Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.65 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

West Virginia vs. Army Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: West Virginia 21 Army 24

Spread Pick: Army +7 -117 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Army +240 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 41 -111 Pinnacle Sports