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West Virginia vs. Iowa State 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The West Virginia visits Iowa State on 12/5/2020 at 3:30PM.

West Virginia and Iowa State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. West Virginia has a record of 5-3 this season. Iowa State is 7-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

West Virginia Team Defense Preview

West Virginia has had 92 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.93 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, West Virginia is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.22% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

West Virginia opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? West Virginia can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.4 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

West Virginia has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!West Virginia has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

West Virginia Team Offense Preview

West Virginia has had 98 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.54 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. West Virginia is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 56.17% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

West Virginia is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. West Virginia can take credit for 2.52 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the West Virginia Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. West Virginia is a better passing team than running team this season.

Iowa State Team Defense Preview

Iowa State has had 98 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.21 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Iowa State opponents pass the football 50.68% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Iowa State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Iowa State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.55 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Iowa State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Iowa State Team Offense Preview

Iowa State has had 101 total drives this season and they generate 5.51 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Iowa State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 48.74% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Iowa State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Iowa State can take credit for 3.12 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Iowa State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Iowa State this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Iowa State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The West Virginia Roster

The Players to Watch for West Virginia

Jarret Doege QB 6-2 208

This season, Jarret Doege has put up 2219 yards and 13 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 138.4thus far this season. Jarret Doege has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarret Doege has -73.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 0.63 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 30.0 times this season, which puts him in the 70.16 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Leddie Brown RB 5-11 210

This season, Leddie Brown has 897 rushing yards on 165 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Leddie Brown picked up 184 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Winston Wright WR 5-10 180

This season, Winston Wright picked up 494 yards. He caught the ball 42 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dante Stills DL 6-4 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for West Virginia, Dante Stills has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 82.48 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tykee Smith S 5-10 198.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for West Virginia, Tykee Smith had 55 tackles which puts him in the 97.11 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 8 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.87 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tykee Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.96 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Alonzo Addae CB 5-11 189

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for West Virginia, Alonzo Addae had 55 tackles which puts him in the 99.27 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Alonzo Addae as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.13 percentile among Corners this season.

The Iowa State Roster

The Players to Watch for Iowa State

Brock Purdy QB 6-1 212

This season, Brock Purdy has put up 2025 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 139.3thus far this season. Brock Purdy has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brock Purdy has 272.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 91.75 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 64.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.1 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Breece Hall RB 6-1 215

This season, Breece Hall has 1260 rushing yards on 200 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 16 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Breece Hall picked up 88 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Xavier Hutchinson WR 6-3 207

This season, Xavier Hutchinson picked up 523 yards. He caught the ball 42 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Lee DT 6-0 301

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, Isaiah Lee has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

JaQuan Bailey DE 6-2 261

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Iowa State, JaQuan Bailey has 34 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.38 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.23 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Lawrence White DB 6-0 197.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Iowa State, Lawrence White had 46 tackles which puts him in the 94.83 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Lawrence White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

West Virginia vs. Iowa State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: West Virginia 22 Iowa State 25

Spread Pick: West Virginia +6.5 -110 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Iowa State -226 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 49.5 -112 BetOnline