College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

West Virginia vs. Texas 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The West Virginia visits Texas on 11/7/2020 at 12:00PM.

West Virginia and Texas face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. West Virginia has a record of 4-2 this season. Texas is 4-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

West Virginia Team Defense Preview

West Virginia has had 70 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.66 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, West Virginia is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.92% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

West Virginia opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.25 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

West Virginia has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. West Virginia should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. West Virginia has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

West Virginia Team Offense Preview

West Virginia has had 76 total drives this season and they generate 5.39 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. West Virginia is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. West Virginia passes the football 56.34% of the time.West Virginia tends to pass more than other teams.

West Virginia is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. West Virginia can take credit for 2.58 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the West Virginia Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. West Virginia is a better passing team than running team this season.

Texas Team Defense Preview

Texas has had 86 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.93 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Texas is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Texas has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 53.54% of their opponents’ play calls.Texas tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Texas opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Texas can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.25 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Texas has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Texas is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas Team Offense Preview

Texas has had 85 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.98 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Texas is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Texas is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Texas passes the football 54.14% of the time.Texas tends to pass more than other teams.

Texas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas can take credit for 2.92 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Texas Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Texas has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The West Virginia Roster

The Players to Watch for West Virginia

Jarret Doege QB 6-2 208

This season, Jarret Doege has put up 1690 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 138.5thus far this season. Jarret Doege has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarret Doege has -55.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 1.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 23.0 times this season, which puts him in the 71.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Leddie Brown RB 5-11 210

This season, Leddie Brown has 694 rushing yards on 126 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Leddie Brown picked up 166 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Winston Wright WR 5-10 180

This season, Winston Wright picked up 391 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dante Stills DL 6-4 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for West Virginia, Dante Stills has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 87.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tykee Smith S 5-10 198

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for West Virginia, Tykee Smith had 39 tackles which puts him in the 96.59 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 6 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.89 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tykee Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Alonzo Addae CB 5-11 189

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for West Virginia, Alonzo Addae had 43 tackles which puts him in the 99.81 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Alonzo Addae as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.72 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Texas Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas

Sam Ehlinger QB 6-3 225

This season, Sam Ehlinger has put up 1650 yards and 20 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 149.1thus far this season. Sam Ehlinger has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Ehlinger has 284.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.86 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 78.0 times this season, which puts him in the 99.22 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 7.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Keaontay Ingram RB 6-0 222

This season, Keaontay Ingram has 250 rushing yards on 53 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Keaontay Ingram picked up 103 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Joshua Moore WR 6-1 169

This season, Joshua Moore picked up 343 yards. He caught the ball 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jacoby Jones DL 6-4 264

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas, Jacoby Jones has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Caden Sterns DB 6-1 207

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas, Caden Sterns had 33 tackles which puts him in the 93.49 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Caden Sterns as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

West Virginia vs. Texas Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: West Virginia 26 Texas 32

Spread Pick: Texas -4.5 -112 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Texas -195 BetOnline
Total Pick: Over 54 -108 Pinnacle Sports