College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Western Kentucky vs. Charlotte 12/6/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Western Kentucky visits Charlotte on 12/6/2020 at 12:00PM.

Western Kentucky and Charlotte face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Western Kentucky has a record of 4-6 this season. Charlotte is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Western Kentucky Team Defense Preview

Western Kentucky has had 103 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.62 plays per drive. Western Kentucky lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 44.56% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Western Kentucky can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.93 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Western Kentucky has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Western Kentucky Team Offense Preview

Western Kentucky has had 104 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.08 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Western Kentucky is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 52.08% of their play calls.Western Kentucky tends to pass more than other teams.

Western Kentucky struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Western Kentucky can take credit for 2.57 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Western Kentucky Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Western Kentucky has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Charlotte Team Defense Preview

Charlotte has had 57 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.19 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Charlotte is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Charlotte has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 44.59% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Charlotte can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.1 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Charlotte has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Charlotte Team Offense Preview

Charlotte has had 56 total drives this season and they generate 5.59 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 47.28% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Charlotte is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.81 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Charlotte Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Charlotte is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Western Kentucky Roster

The Players to Watch for Western Kentucky

Tyrrell Pigrome QB 5-10 210

This season, Tyrrell Pigrome has put up 1217 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 111.7thus far this season. Tyrrell Pigrome has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tyrrell Pigrome has 256.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 91.11 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 87.0 times this season, which puts him in the 95.56 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gaej Walker RB 6-0 195

This season, Gaej Walker has 516 rushing yards on 116 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gaej Walker picked up 40 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Xavier Lane WR 6-4 200

This season, Xavier Lane picked up 376 yards. He caught the ball 34 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ricky Barber DT 6-3 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Western Kentucky, Ricky Barber has 36 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.43 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 97.95 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

DeAngelo Malone DE 6-4 230.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Western Kentucky, DeAngelo Malone has 65 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.34 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.24 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Devon Key DB 6-1 210.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Western Kentucky, Devon Key had 77 tackles which puts him in the 99.74 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.63 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Devon Key as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.32 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Charlotte Roster

The Players to Watch for Charlotte

Chris Reynolds QB 5-11 192

This season, Chris Reynolds has put up 1100 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 134.9thus far this season. Chris Reynolds has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chris Reynolds has 35.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 57.78 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 44.0 times this season, which puts him in the 82.06 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tre Harbison RB 5-11 215

This season, Tre Harbison has 257 rushing yards on 64 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tre Harbison picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Victor Tucker WR 5-11 177

This season, Victor Tucker picked up 289 yards. He caught the ball 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Romeo McKnight DE 6-5 250.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Charlotte, Romeo McKnight has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.66 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.31 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Ben DeLuca DB 6-1 215.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Charlotte, Ben DeLuca had 41 tackles which puts him in the 92.04 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.63 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Ben DeLuca as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Western Kentucky vs. Charlotte Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Western Kentucky 26 Charlotte 25

Spread Pick: Western Kentucky +2.5 -108 Heritage
Moneyline Pick: Western Kentucky +115 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 46 -109 Pinnacle Sports