College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Western Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Western Kentucky visits Florida Atlantic on 11/7/2020 at 6:00PM.

Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Western Kentucky has a record of 2-5 this season. Florida Atlantic is 2-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Western Kentucky Team Defense Preview

Western Kentucky has had 68 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.1 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Western Kentucky cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Western Kentucky has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 45.78% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Western Kentucky is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.9 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Western Kentucky has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Western Kentucky Team Offense Preview

Western Kentucky has had 70 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.83 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Western Kentucky is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Western Kentucky passes the football 52.37% of the time.Western Kentucky tends to pass more than other teams.

Western Kentucky struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Western Kentucky can take credit for 2.47 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Western Kentucky Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Western Kentucky has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Florida Atlantic Team Defense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 23 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.7 plays per drive. Florida Atlantic lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Florida Atlantic has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Florida Atlantic opponents pass the football 51.15% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Florida Atlantic is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.78 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Florida Atlantic has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Florida Atlantic should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida Atlantic Team Offense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 22 total drives this season and they generate 5.27 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Florida Atlantic passes the football 46.55% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Florida Atlantic is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.95 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida Atlantic Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Western Kentucky Roster

The Players to Watch for Western Kentucky

Tyrrell Pigrome QB 5-10 210

This season, Tyrrell Pigrome has put up 750 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 121.3thus far this season. Tyrrell Pigrome has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tyrrell Pigrome has 234.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 93.33 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 60.0 times this season, which puts him in the 93.14 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gaej Walker RB 6-0 195

This season, Gaej Walker has 274 rushing yards on 71 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gaej Walker picked up 24 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mitchell Tinsley WR 6-1 185

This season, Mitchell Tinsley picked up 231 yards. He caught the ball 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ricky Barber DT 6-3 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Western Kentucky, Ricky Barber has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 82.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

DeAngelo Malone DE 6-4 230

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Western Kentucky, DeAngelo Malone has 43 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.67 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 87.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Antwon Kincade DB 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Western Kentucky, Antwon Kincade had 51 tackles which puts him in the 99.63 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 96.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Antwon Kincade as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Florida Atlantic Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida Atlantic

Nick Tronti QB 6-2 215

This season, Nick Tronti has put up 382 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 112.7thus far this season. Nick Tronti has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Tronti has 81.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.22 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 35.0 times this season, which puts him in the 82.55 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Malcolm Davidson RB 5-10 205

This season, Malcolm Davidson has 195 rushing yards on 26 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Malcolm Davidson picked up 21 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

T.J. Chase WR 6-1 190

This season, T.J. Chase picked up 114 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcel Southall DT 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Marcel Southall has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 65.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Leighton McCarthy DE 6-3 225

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Leighton McCarthy has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 94.4 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 97.48 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Ahman Ross S 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Ahman Ross had 22 tackles which puts him in the 81.51 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ahman Ross as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Teja Young CB 5-11 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Teja Young had 13 tackles which puts him in the 73.05 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Teja Young as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.32 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Western Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Western Kentucky 24 Florida Atlantic 21

Spread Pick: Western Kentucky +7 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Western Kentucky +235 GtBets
Total Pick: Over 37.5 -110 JazzSports