College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Wisconsin vs. Iowa 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Wisconsin visits Iowa on 12/12/2020 at 3:30PM.

Wisconsin and Iowa face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Wisconsin has a record of 2-2 this season. Iowa is 5-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Wisconsin Team Defense Preview

Wisconsin has had 43 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.42 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Wisconsin is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Wisconsin opponents pass the football 56.84% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Wisconsin opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.34 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Wisconsin is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Wisconsin Team Offense Preview

Wisconsin has had 46 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.57 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Wisconsin is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Wisconsin passes the football 48.44% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Wisconsin is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.26 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Wisconsin coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Wisconsin this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Wisconsin has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Iowa Team Defense Preview

Iowa has had 80 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.51 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Iowa opponents pass the football 50.11% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Iowa is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.63 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Iowa is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Iowa Team Offense Preview

Iowa has had 81 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.44 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Iowa passes the football 48.07% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Iowa is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Iowa can take credit for 3.01 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Iowa this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Iowa has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Wisconsin Roster

The Players to Watch for Wisconsin

Graham Mertz QB 6-3 215

This season, Graham Mertz has put up 807 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.6thus far this season. Graham Mertz has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Graham Mertz has 34.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 56.48 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 23.0 times this season, which puts him in the 59.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jalen Berger RB 6-0 210

This season, Jalen Berger has 267 rushing yards on 45 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jalen Berger picked up 13 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chimere Dike WR 6-1 193

This season, Chimere Dike picked up 121 yards. He caught the ball 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keeanu Benton NT 6-4 315

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Wisconsin, Keeanu Benton has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Isaiahh Loudermilk DE 6-7 293.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Wisconsin, Isaiahh Loudermilk has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 47.25 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 66.28 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Colin Wilder S 5-10 194.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Wisconsin, Colin Wilder had 15 tackles which puts him in the 54.21 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Colin Wilder as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Falon Hicks CB 5-10 185

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Wisconsin, Falon Hicks had 8 tackles which puts him in the 44.62 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Falon Hicks as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

The Iowa Roster

The Players to Watch for Iowa

Spencer Petras QB 6-5 231

This season, Spencer Petras has put up 1358 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 115.1thus far this season. Spencer Petras has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Petras has 7.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 35.96 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 29.0 times this season, which puts him in the 66.98 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tyler Goodson RB 5-10 200

This season, Tyler Goodson has 656 rushing yards on 132 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tyler Goodson picked up 124 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ihmir Smith-Marsette WR 6-1 179

This season, Ihmir Smith-Marsette picked up 205 yards. He caught the ball 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Daviyon Nixon DT 6-3 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa, Daviyon Nixon has 41 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 13 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 99.78 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Chauncey Golston DL 6-5 270.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Iowa, Chauncey Golston has 36 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 93.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Jack Koerner DB 6-0 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Iowa, Jack Koerner had 39 tackles which puts him in the 88.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jack Koerner as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 98.17 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Wisconsin vs. Iowa Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Wisconsin 20 Iowa 14

Spread Pick: Wisconsin -1.5 -116 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: Wisconsin -120 SkyBook
Total Pick: Under 42.5 -155 matchbook