2025-06-25 Cubs at Cardinals Matchup Preview

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send left-hander Matthew Boyd to the mound, while the St. Louis Cardinals will counter with right-hander Erick Fedde. Boyd's repertoire features a fastball that averages around 91 miles per hour, complemented by a slider and changeup he uses to disrupt hitters' timing. His success hinges on his ability to locate his pitches effectively and keep hitters off balance. Fedde, on the other hand, relies on a sinker-heavy approach, aiming to induce ground balls and limit damage. He also throws a cutter and curveball, mixing speeds to keep hitters guessing.

Cubs Offensive Outlook

The Cubs offense has been a force this season, demonstrated by their impressive team offensive wins above replacement of 16.7. Their lineup features a mix of power and speed, capable of generating runs in a variety of ways. They have shown a good capability of staying healthy with the team being around for 1143 games. One area to watch will be their performance against Fedde's sinker. If they can elevate the pitch and avoid hitting into double plays, they could put up a crooked number early. Key to the Cubs success will be getting on base to drive in runs, with their walk rate being a key factor.

Cardinals Offensive Outlook

The Cardinals offense has been solid as well this year, with their team offensive wins above replacement coming in at 13.0. They feature a lineup with a good mix of veteran leadership and young talent. They will be challenged by Boyd's ability to command the strike zone and change speeds. Success for the Cardinals will depend on their ability to work deep counts, force Boyd to throw a lot of pitches, and capitalize on any mistakes he makes. How the ball is hit will be a key factor in the game.

Bullpen Strengths

Both teams possess reliable bullpens capable of shortening games. The Cubs bullpen has shown an ability to get crucial outs in high-leverage situations. Their ability to induce swings and misses and limit extra-base hits is a major factor in their success. The Cardinals bullpen relies on a mix of power arms and groundball specialists. They are particularly effective at preventing inherited runners from scoring, minimizing damage when their starter exits the game. Which bullpen can hold on to the lead late in the game will play a significant factor in which team takes home the victory.

Defensive Prowess

Defensively, both teams are generally sound. The Cubs have demonstrated good range in the outfield and a sure-handed infield. The Cardinals are known for their strong defense up the middle, with a Gold Glove-caliber shortstop and a reliable center fielder. Error prevention will be vital in a game that is anticipated to be close, with both teams needing to make routine plays. The winner of the game is likely to be the team that doesn't make any defensive errors. Any misplays could easily cost either side.

Intangibles

The Cubs and Cardinals rivalry always adds an extra layer of intensity to these matchups. The energy from the crowd will be palpable, and both teams will be eager to come out on top. The Cardinals, playing at home, will have the advantage of the crowd support. However, the Cubs are a seasoned team that is accustomed to playing in hostile environments. Look for small ball to be a deciding factor, as well as situational hitting. Which team is able to capitalize on small mistakes or situations will be the likely victor.

Prediction

This game has the makings of a classic pitchers' duel. Both starters are capable of shutting down opposing offenses, and both bullpens are equipped to handle late-game pressure. However, the Cubs' slightly more potent offense and ability to get on base gives them a slight edge in what is predicted to be a close game.

Cubs 5 Cardinals 4