2025-09-06 Blue Jays at Yankees Matchup Preview

Starting Pitcher Matchup

Chris Bassitt takes the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays, bringing his repertoire to Yankee Stadium. Bassitt is known for his sinker, which he throws with significant horizontal movement, making it difficult for hitters to barrel the ball consistently. He complements this with a cutter that has above-average velocity and keeps hitters off-balance. His curveball features substantial vertical movement, adding another dimension to his pitching arsenal. Bassitt's ability to mix speeds and movement effectively makes him a challenging opponent, particularly for right-handed hitters who struggle to pick up the late break on his pitches. It will be key to watch if he can use the cutter inside to neutralize the Yankees hitters who are looking to pull the ball.

On the other side, Luis Gil will start for the New York Yankees. Gil features a fastball with impressive velocity that he pairs with a changeup. The changeup is his strikeout pitch, diving down in the zone from a similar plane as the fastball, this makes the hitter have to respect the heater. Gil also uses a slider with above-average horizontal movement. Given his reliance on velocity and movement, his command within the strike zone will be crucial against a Blue Jays lineup that can be patient and selective.

Blue Jays Hitting Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays offense has been a solid unit this season. As a team, they show an expected weighted on-base average of .342, which is around league average, indicating a capable offense that can generate runs when clicking. The Blue Jays also provide a wins above replacement of 28.5, which suggests they've been a productive group overall, contributing positively to their team's success. In order to score runs against the Yankees, they will need to get on base and that will start with batting average. They need to hit Gil and not allow him to get into a groove.

Against Luis Gil, the Blue Jays hitters will need to focus on laying off pitches out of the zone. Gil's tendency to leave pitches up in the zone can be exploited by disciplined hitters. Toronto's hitters need to be aggressive in the zone as Gil will challenge them with his velocity and keep them from sitting on his pitches. If the Blue Jays can consistently put pressure on Gil, they can force him to make mistakes and capitalize on those opportunities.

Yankees Hitting Analysis

The New York Yankees' offense has shown a strong offensive presence this season. Their expected weighted on-base average of .348 is slightly above average, suggesting a potent lineup capable of producing runs consistently. The Yankees team also has a wins above replacement of 29.2, indicating the team has made a large contribution to the team's success. For them to score runs, they will need to get the ball in play. That will start with working the count.

Facing Chris Bassitt, the Yankees hitters must be patient and wait for hittable pitches. Bassitt's ability to induce weak contact with his sinker and cutter means the Yankees cannot afford to be overly aggressive. Recognizing the spin and movement on Bassitt's pitches will be key, particularly the late break on his curveball. The Yankees right-handed hitters, in particular, will need to adjust their approach to avoid getting jammed by Bassitt's cutter. Look for the Yankees to work the count and get Bassitt out of the game early.

Game Prediction

Given the pitching matchup and the offensive capabilities of both teams, this game is expected to be closely contested. Chris Bassitt's experience and ability to induce weak contact could give the Blue Jays an edge. However, the Yankees' slightly better offensive metrics and Luis Gil's potential for dominance make them a tough opponent at home. The key to this game will be the ability to execute the game plan at the plate, both teams are potent enough to win. Given the circumstances, expect a close game with a slight edge to the Blue Jays due to Bassitt's experience. The long ball will be a key factor in this game.