Return to MLB Previews

2025-09-12 Dodgers at Giants Matchup Preview

Education Hero Image

A classic rivalry reignites as the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the San Francisco Giants, with pitching and timely hitting poised to be the deciding factors.

Card Image
This article is powered by Bovada

Up to $3,750 in Welcome Bonuses

Start Now
Education Hero Image

Starting Pitching Matchup

Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers, bringing his diverse arsenal to Oracle Park. Yamamoto's effectiveness hinges on his ability to command the strike zone with his fastball, slider, and curveball. He will be countered by Luis Castillo of the San Francisco Giants, a veteran right-hander known for his sinking fastball and changeup. Castillo aims to leverage his experience and pitch movement to neutralize the Dodgers' potent lineup.

Dodgers' Offensive Outlook

The Los Angeles Dodgers offense has been a force to be reckoned with this season, spearheaded by a lineup that combines power and on-base ability. As a team, they showcase an expected weighted on-base average of 0.345, demonstrating their capability to consistently get runners on base and drive them in. Against right-handed pitchers like Castillo, the Dodgers will look to exploit any mistakes and capitalize on opportunities to score runs. Key to their success will be their ability to work counts, drive up Castillo’s pitch count, and get into the Giants bullpen early. This approach allows them to leverage their patience at the plate and put pressure on the Giants' defense.

Giants' Offensive Outlook

The San Francisco Giants' offense, while not as statistically dominant as the Dodgers, still possesses the potential to put up runs, especially at home. They showcase an expected weighted on-base average of 0.328. Their approach against Yamamoto will need to focus on capitalizing on any command issues and stringing together hits. They will rely on their familiarity with their home ballpark to create scoring opportunities.

Pitching and Hitting Matchup Analysis

The pivotal matchup in this game lies in how the Dodgers' hitters perform against Luis Castillo. The Dodgers' impressive expected weighted on-base average suggests they have the potential to exploit Castillo's vulnerabilities. If the Dodgers can maintain their patience at the plate and force Castillo to work deep into counts, they could gain a significant advantage. On the other side, the Giants' hitters face a tough challenge against Yoshinobu Yamamoto. His ability to mix pitches and command the strike zone can disrupt the timing of even the most disciplined hitters. The Giants will need to focus on identifying Yamamoto's tendencies early in the game and adjusting their approach accordingly. Key for them will be being aggressive on hittable pitches early in the count and avoiding getting into prolonged at-bats that favor Yamamoto's control.

Bullpen Considerations

The bullpens for both teams will likely play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this game. The Dodgers' bullpen has generally been reliable this season, providing quality innings in relief of their starters. However, they have shown vulnerabilities at times, particularly in high-leverage situations. The Giants' bullpen has also been solid, with several arms capable of shutting down opposing hitters. The ability of both managers to make timely pitching changes and deploy their relievers effectively will be essential.

Defensive Expectations

Defense will be important. Both teams are expected to make routine plays and minimize errors. The Dodgers are known for their defensive prowess, showcasing strong defenders at key positions. Their ability to turn double plays and make difficult catches can save runs and shift momentum. The Giants, playing in their home ballpark, will rely on their familiarity with the unique dimensions of Oracle Park to their advantage. Their outfielders must be adept at playing the walls, and their infielders need to be prepared for the unpredictable bounces that can occur on the hard infield surface.

Prediction

This game projects to be a tightly contested affair between two division rivals. Given the Dodgers' slight edge in offensive production, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitching abilities, they enter as slight favorites. However, the Giants' home-field advantage and Luis Castillo's experience cannot be overlooked. Away: Dodgers Away Score: 4 Home: Giants Home Score: 3