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2025-09-14 Pirates at Nationals Matchup Preview

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals clash in an interleague contest with both teams looking to gain momentum as the season winds down.

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Starting Pitching Matchup

Braxton Ashcraft gets the nod for the Pittsburgh Pirates, offering a multifaceted arsenal designed to disrupt hitters' timing and location in the box. He is slated to be followed by Mike Burrows in a tandem start. The Pirates’ tandem strategy could mean shorter stints for both pitchers, potentially preventing them from working deep into the game and exposing the bullpen earlier than desired. The Washington Nationals will counter with Cade Cavalli, a right-hander known for his aggressive approach on the mound. Cavalli features a high-velocity fastball and a sharp breaking ball, making him a difficult matchup for opposing hitters. His ability to command the strike zone is critical to his success, as walks can inflate pitch counts and lead to early exits.

Pittsburgh Pirates Hitting Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates offense has demonstrated an ability to generate runs, relying on a combination of veteran leadership and emerging young talent. One key area for the Pirates' hitters will be their ability to capitalize on opportunities with runners in scoring position. As a team, the Pirates have posted an expected weighted on-base average of .313. The Pirates’ hitters will need to stay disciplined at the plate and force Cavalli to work deep into counts. By driving up his pitch count, they can potentially exploit the Nationals’ bullpen, which has shown vulnerabilities this season. Selective aggression, particularly early in the count, could yield positive results, allowing the Pirates to string together hits and manufacture runs.

Washington Nationals Hitting Analysis

The Washington Nationals offense has been a pleasant surprise this season, showcasing a mix of power and on-base ability. The Nationals’ lineup features several players capable of changing the game with one swing, and their overall offensive approach has been geared towards taking advantage of mistakes and capitalizing on scoring opportunities. The Washington Nationals' expected weighted on-base average sits at .326. This highlights their ability to consistently put the ball in play and generate positive outcomes at the plate. Facing Ashcraft and Burrows, the Nationals will need to stay patient and work the count. The Pirates' pitchers like to mix their pitches and avoid predictable patterns. The Nationals’ hitters must focus on recognizing pitch types early in the count and adjusting their swings accordingly. By doing so, they can elevate their chances of making solid contact and driving the ball into the gaps.

Bullpen Considerations

The Pittsburgh Pirates' bullpen has had its share of ups and downs this season. Their success often hinges on their ability to bridge the gap between the starting rotation and the late-inning specialists. The Washington Nationals’ bullpen has been a key component of their team’s success. They feature a blend of experienced veterans and hard-throwing young arms, providing manager with flexibility in high-leverage situations. Their ability to maintain leads and close out games has been instrumental in their overall performance.

Defensive Prowess

The Pirates’ defense has demonstrated solid play throughout the season. Their infield has showcased strong communication and range, turning double plays and preventing opposing runners from taking extra bases. The outfield, anchored by a center fielder with exceptional speed and instincts, has consistently tracked down fly balls and limited extra-base hits. The Nationals’ defense has been equally reliable. Their infielders have displayed sure hands and accurate throws, minimizing errors and preventing opponents from extending innings. In the outfield, their players have shown a knack for making difficult catches and throwing out runners attempting to advance.

Intangibles and Game Strategy

Both the Pirates and Nationals will look to exploit any strategic advantages they can find. Stolen bases, hit-and-run plays, and situational hitting will likely play a role in determining the outcome of the game. Effective base running and timely execution could be the difference-makers in a close contest.

Prediction

The game projects to be a tightly contested affair. The Nationals' slight edge in expected weighted on-base average could give them a marginal advantage in run production. However, the Pirates' ability to manufacture runs and exploit pitching matchups should keep them competitive throughout the game. The tandem pitching effort can be difficult to account for when preparing an offensive strategy. Pirates 4 Nationals 3