2025-09-16 Blue Jays at Rays Matchup Preview

Starting Pitcher Matchup

Jose Berrios takes the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays, while the Tampa Bay Rays counter with Ryan Pepiot in what promises to be an intriguing pitching duel. Berrios brings a wealth of experience and a diverse repertoire to the game. He relies on a fastball with good velocity and movement, complemented by a sharp curveball and a deceptive changeup. Pepiot, on the other hand, is known for his exceptional control and command of his pitches. He features a sinking fastball that induces ground balls, along with a slider and changeup to keep hitters off balance.

Blue Jays Hitting Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays offense has been a formidable force this season. The team has shown a collective expected Weighted On-Base Average of 0.341. The Blue Jays have put together a Left Side Wins Above Replacement of 30.2 demonstrating the quality of their offensive prowess. Toronto's lineup features a mix of power hitters and patient approaches at the plate. One key aspect of the Blue Jays' offensive approach is their ability to work deep counts and capitalize on mistakes. Against a pitcher like Pepiot, who relies on command and control, the Blue Jays hitters will need to be disciplined and selective, waiting for pitches they can drive. They will look to elevate the ball and take advantage of Pepiot's tendency to induce ground balls. Success against Pepiot will hinge on their ability to make solid contact and string together quality at-bats.

Rays Hitting Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays offense presents a different challenge. The Rays exhibit a team expected Weighted On-Base Average of 0.317. Their Left Side Wins Above Replacement sits at 14.9. The Rays' hitters tend to be more aggressive early in the count. The Rays' ability to generate runs will depend on their ability to get runners on base and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Facing Berrios, the Rays' hitters will need to be prepared for a variety of pitches and speeds. Berrios' ability to mix his pitches effectively can make it difficult for hitters to get comfortable in the box. The Rays will need to focus on staying patient and looking for pitches they can handle. Their success against Berrios will depend on their ability to make adjustments at the plate and execute their offensive strategy.

Intangibles and Prediction

Both teams have a lot to play for as the season winds down, and the atmosphere in the stadium will be electric. Each team's bullpen could play a crucial role, especially if the game is close late. The Rays will look to utilize their speed on the basepaths and their strong defensive play to gain an advantage. The Blue Jays are going to try to capitalize on any opportunities that arise on offense. The game is going to be tightly contested, with both teams showcasing their strengths and battling for every run.

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