2025-10-06 Cubs at Brewers Matchup Preview
This late season matchup between the Cubs and Brewers could have serious implications for postseason positioning.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago Cubs will send left-hander Shota Imanaga to the mound to face the Milwaukee Brewers in what promises to be an intriguing pitching duel. Imanaga's repertoire is built around deception and precise command, emphasizing movement over raw velocity. His ability to locate pitches effectively will be crucial against a Brewers lineup known for its patient approach at the plate. The Brewers will counter with right-hander Quinn Priester. Priester will likely lean on his ability to generate ground balls and control the tempo of the game, aiming to keep the Cubs' offense at bay.
Cubs' Offensive Outlook
The Cubs' offense in 2025 has showcased considerable power and the ability to generate runs, demonstrated by their overall weighted on-base average of .343. Their lineup features a mix of veteran hitters and emerging young talent, creating a dynamic and challenging proposition for opposing pitchers. A key factor in their success has been their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, with a team L-WAR (wins above replacement level) of 30.0 indicating a significant contribution from across the roster. However, their success against Priester will depend on their ability to adjust to his ground ball-inducing tendencies. Their expected slugging percentage of .46 shows they have the ability to get on base, but they can't hit into double plays.
Brewers' Offensive Outlook
The Brewers' offense relies on a balanced approach, emphasizing on-base percentage and timely hitting. Their weighted on-base average of .322 reflects a team that values patience and discipline at the plate, seeking to wear down opposing pitchers and create scoring opportunities. They will have to be wary of Imanaga's diverse pitch mix and ability to control the strike zone. The Brewers will rely on their own L-WAR of 26.7 to compete in this matchup. The Brewers' ability to disrupt Imanaga's rhythm and force him into unfavorable counts will be paramount.
Imanaga's Pitching Strategy
Imanaga will likely approach the Brewers' lineup with a strategy predicated on exploiting their potential weaknesses. He will need to command the strike zone effectively to limit walks. His approach will be tailored to avoid predictable patterns and keep the hitters guessing. Against a Brewers team that values patience, Imanaga will need to be especially adept at varying his delivery and changing speeds to disrupt their timing.
Priester's Pitching Strategy
Priester will aim to keep the ball down in the zone and induce ground balls, leveraging the Brewers' strong infield defense to his advantage. Against a Cubs lineup known for its power, Priester will need to be precise with his location and avoid leaving pitches over the heart of the plate. His ability to mix his pitches effectively and keep the Cubs' hitters off balance will be crucial to his success. If he is leaving balls in the middle of the plate, the Cubs expected slugging percentage of .46 might make it a long day for the Brewers pitcher.
Key Matchups
One key matchup to watch is how the Cubs' power hitters fare against Priester's ground ball tendencies. If the Cubs can elevate the ball and drive it into the gaps, they could generate significant run-scoring opportunities. Conversely, the Brewers' ability to get runners on base and manufacture runs will be tested by Imanaga's command and control. The success of these individual battles will likely determine the outcome of the game.
Bullpen Considerations
Both teams possess capable bullpens, which could play a significant role in a close game. The Cubs' bullpen has demonstrated its ability to shut down opposing offenses in late-inning situations, while the Brewers' relief corps has proven equally adept at preserving leads and preventing rallies. The effectiveness of each team's bullpen management will be critical in determining the final score.
Prediction
This game is anticipated to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams possessing strengths in pitching and hitting. Imanaga's command and Priester's ground ball tendencies create a fascinating contrast in styles. Ultimately, the Cubs' slight edge in offensive firepower may prove to be the deciding factor.
Cubs 4 Brewers 3